New Orleans 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
ABC, Sportsnet

New Orleans @ Golden State props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has made 52.5% of his shots from the field on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Trey Murphy III has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Murphy III ranks in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, logging just 1.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have shot 34.8% on three-pointers (6th-worst in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Trey Murphy III has made 52.5% of his shots from the field on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Trey Murphy III has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Murphy III ranks in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, logging just 1.1 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have shot 34.8% on three-pointers (6th-worst in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

Stephen Curry has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this year. With respect to shooting, the Warriors's subpar 46.1% field goal rate while on their home court ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Stephen Curry has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this year. With respect to shooting, the Warriors's subpar 46.1% field goal rate while on their home court ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-120

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 73.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 12.0% more than he's made in all games this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has played 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.0 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 73.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 12.0% more than he's made in all games this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has played 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.0 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

Jonas Valanciunas has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made overall this year. The matchup against Kevon Looney is a strong one; he has given up a massive 16.4 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.1% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Jonas Valanciunas has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made overall this year. The matchup against Kevon Looney is a strong one; he has given up a massive 16.4 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.1% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has averaged 28.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has averaged 28.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson comes in at the 94th percentile for shots drained, putting up a monstrous 8.5 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from the field; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson comes in at the 94th percentile for shots drained, putting up a monstrous 8.5 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from the field; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

CJ McCollum has failed to make 8.1 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 10.1 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 2.8 rate, CJ McCollum's threes hit have increased this season to 3.6 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.9 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on threes (25th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

CJ McCollum has failed to make 8.1 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 10.1 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 2.8 rate, CJ McCollum's threes hit have increased this season to 3.6 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.9 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on threes (25th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Brandon Ingram has made 45.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 12.0% higher than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Brandon Ingram registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Brandon Ingram has made 45.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 12.0% higher than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Brandon Ingram registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Pelicans are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has converted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Pelicans are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has converted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has made 74.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 13.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a good one for scoring; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 63.5% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kevon Looney

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.5

Kevon Looney has made 74.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 13.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a good one for scoring; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 63.5% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has sunk 3.9 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Klay Thompson has played 29.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Klay Thompson has sunk 3.9 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Klay Thompson has played 29.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Herbert Jones has converted 54.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.4 minutes per game this year. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Herbert Jones has converted 54.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.4 minutes per game this year. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Dario Saric has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's converted overall this season. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 17.8 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Dario Saric

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 21 games while at home. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 15thbest in in the league playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. When playing on the road, the Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Dario Saric has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's converted overall this season. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 17.8 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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