Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
NBALP

Indiana @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 69.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 69.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Brown
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Bruce Brown has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 83rd percentile for 3-point shots converted, posting 2.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for threes; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (60.1%). The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 83rd percentile for 3-point shots converted, posting 2.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for threes; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (60.1%). The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Smith Points Scored Props • Indiana

J. Smith
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

In comparison to last year's 45.9% rate, Jalen Smith's field goal efficiency has increased this year to 68.6%. Jalen Smith has sunk a terrific 57.2% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit more than his 25.4 rate last season. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, making this a positive matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Jalen Smith

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

In comparison to last year's 45.9% rate, Jalen Smith's field goal efficiency has increased this year to 68.6%. Jalen Smith has sunk a terrific 57.2% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit more than his 25.4 rate last season. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, making this a positive matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

In terms of shots from downtown, the Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes rates 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

In terms of shots from downtown, the Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes rates 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Trae Young has averaged 26.4 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric. In contrast to last year's 6.5 mark, Trae Young's three-point attempts have surged this year to 9.3 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 36.5 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.8

Trae Young has averaged 26.4 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric. In contrast to last year's 6.5 mark, Trae Young's three-point attempts have surged this year to 9.3 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 36.5 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 10.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 10.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 52.4% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, creating a positive matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 52.4% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.7% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, creating a positive matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-128

Clint Capela has successfully made 68.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6). The number of points averaged against Myles Turner has been very high (17.7 per game) when he is on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Clint Capela has successfully made 68.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (28.6). The number of points averaged against Myles Turner has been very high (17.7 per game) when he is on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jalen Johnson has converted 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this year. Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Jalen Johnson has converted 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this year. Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Myles Turner has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile). The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Myles Turner is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Myles Turner

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Myles Turner has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile). The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Myles Turner is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has made 65.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 12.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. T.J. McConnell has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

T.J. McConnell has made 65.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 12.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. T.J. McConnell has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's posted in all games this season. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Bennedict Mathurin has posted 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's posted in all games this season. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league while playing on the road this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-103

Saddiq Bey has attempted 13.6 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Saddiq Bey has tallied 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Saddiq Bey has attempted 13.6 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Saddiq Bey has tallied 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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