Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
NBALP

Portland @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Mike Conley places in the 93rd percentile for three-point effectiveness with the home court advantage with a a very good 47.8% rate this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the league, Mike Conley places in the 93rd percentile for three-point effectiveness with the home court advantage with a a very good 47.8% rate this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Scoot Henderson has attempted 14.9 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Scoot Henderson has attempted 14.9 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 77th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an outstanding 51.5% rate this year. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Jaden McDaniels figures to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 77th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an outstanding 51.5% rate this year. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Jaden McDaniels figures to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has successfully made 50.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Naz Reid has converted 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on his home court. Naz Reid has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged overall this season. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a difficult one for threes; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing teams have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (33.3%).

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Naz Reid has successfully made 50.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Naz Reid has converted 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on his home court. Naz Reid has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged overall this season. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a difficult one for threes; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing teams have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (33.3%).

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). With the home court advantage, the Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon will likely experience a decrease in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). With the home court advantage, the Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon will likely experience a decrease in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.4
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.4

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-119
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-119
Projection Rating

The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.3 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). With the home court advantage, the Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Anfernee Simons will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.3 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). With the home court advantage, the Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Anfernee Simons will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant measures in the 88th percentile, totaling a whopping 20.2 points per game when playing on the road this year. Out of all players in the league, Jerami Grant measures in the 85th percentile for threes made without the home court advantage, averaging 2.1 per game this year. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jerami Grant

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant measures in the 88th percentile, totaling a whopping 20.2 points per game when playing on the road this year. Out of all players in the league, Jerami Grant measures in the 85th percentile for threes made without the home court advantage, averaging 2.1 per game this year. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara has attempted 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Toumani Camara

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Toumani Camara has attempted 4.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a difficult one for threes; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing teams have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (33.3%). The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Kyle Anderson is expected to get a boost in production across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a difficult one for threes; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing teams have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (33.3%). The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Kyle Anderson is expected to get a boost in production across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-118

Rudy Gobert has converted 63.2% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Rudy Gobert should see a rise in production across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Rudy Gobert has converted 63.2% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Rudy Gobert should see a rise in production across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 93rd percentile for free throws converted, posting a whopping 4.2 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 43.6% rate of drained threes while on their home court settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 93rd percentile for free throws converted, posting a whopping 4.2 per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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