Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Charlotte 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE21-61
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
NBALP

Charlotte @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie comes in at the 21st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have posted 22.3 points per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Hornets, making this a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. Julian Champagnie has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's made overall this year.

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie comes in at the 21st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have posted 22.3 points per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Hornets, making this a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. Julian Champagnie has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's made overall this year.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Victor Wembanyama has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (75th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (saving possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nick Richards has been quite low this year (2.8 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 17th percentile).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Victor Wembanyama has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (75th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (saving possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nick Richards has been quite low this year (2.8 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 17th percentile).

LaMelo Ball Points Scored Props • Charlotte

L. Ball
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

LaMelo Ball has attempted 22.4 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. LaMelo Ball has attempted 10.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (50.2%).

LaMelo Ball

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

LaMelo Ball has attempted 22.4 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. LaMelo Ball has attempted 10.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (50.2%).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Charlotte

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Terry Rozier has averaged 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. Terry Rozier has successfully made 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have put up the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.5%).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Terry Rozier has averaged 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. Terry Rozier has successfully made 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have put up the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.5%).

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-106

The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (saving possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

Devin Vassell

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hornets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (saving possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Richards
center C • Charlotte
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+104

Among all players in the league, Nick Richards measures in the 98th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a remarkable 68.7% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Nick Richards measures in the 100th percentile for three-point performance with a a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season. Nick Richards has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. When at home and defending opposing starting Cs, Victor Wembanyama slots into the 96th percentile with a colossal 11.6 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.

Nick Richards

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Among all players in the league, Nick Richards measures in the 98th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a remarkable 68.7% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Nick Richards measures in the 100th percentile for three-point performance with a a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season. Nick Richards has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. When at home and defending opposing starting Cs, Victor Wembanyama slots into the 96th percentile with a colossal 11.6 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.

Brandon Miller Points Scored Props • Charlotte

B. Miller
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Brandon Miller has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Brandon Miller places in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. The Charlotte Hornets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Brandon Miller has sunk 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.

Brandon Miller

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Brandon Miller has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Brandon Miller places in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game this year. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 18 games away from home. The Charlotte Hornets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Brandon Miller has sunk 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jeremy Sochan has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goals (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, resulting in a strong matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 93.8% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Jeremy Sochan has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goals (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, resulting in a strong matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 93.8% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home.

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tre Jones has successfully made 51.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Tre Jones has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played in all games this year. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. Tre Jones has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Tre Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Tre Jones has successfully made 51.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Tre Jones has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played in all games this year. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. Tre Jones has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 84th percentile, posting a massive 17.5 points per game this year. Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.5 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Keldon Johnson has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 84th percentile, posting a massive 17.5 points per game this year. Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.5 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Keldon Johnson has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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