Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
BSN, NBALP, MNMT

Washington @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-109

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford rates in the 98th percentile for shooting proficiency without the home court advantage with a an excellent 72.2% rate this year. The rate of field goals converted against Clint Capela has been remarkably high (61.4%) when defending other starting Cs this year (87th percentile). The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford rates in the 98th percentile for shooting proficiency without the home court advantage with a an excellent 72.2% rate this year. The rate of field goals converted against Clint Capela has been remarkably high (61.4%) when defending other starting Cs this year (87th percentile). The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bilal Coulibaly Points Scored Props • Washington

B. Coulibaly
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Bilal Coulibaly places in the 86th percentile for three-point ability with a an exceptional 41.1% rate this year. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bilal Coulibaly

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Among all players in the NBA, Bilal Coulibaly places in the 86th percentile for three-point ability with a an exceptional 41.1% rate this year. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 77.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's made over the course of the year. Onyeka Okongwu has made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have tallied 33.3 three attempts per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 77.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's made over the course of the year. Onyeka Okongwu has made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have tallied 33.3 three attempts per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Washington

T. Jones
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Tyus Jones has successfully made 5.3 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Tyus Jones has converted 56.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 17.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tyus Jones has accumulated 0.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 11th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 7.6 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a positive matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Tyus Jones has successfully made 5.3 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Tyus Jones has converted 56.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 17.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tyus Jones has accumulated 0.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 11th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 7.6 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a positive matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Deni Avdija has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Washington Wizards's unimpressive 33.4% rate of sunk threes rates 4th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games. The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA). Deni Avdija ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Deni Avdija

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Deni Avdija has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from downtown, the Washington Wizards's unimpressive 33.4% rate of sunk threes rates 4th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games. The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA). Deni Avdija ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole measures in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on the road, totaling 6.2 per game this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jordan Poole

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole measures in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on the road, totaling 6.2 per game this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Corey Kispert has sunk 59.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Corey Kispert has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Corey Kispert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Corey Kispert has sunk 59.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Corey Kispert has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game while at home this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have scored 15.7 points per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, designating this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game while at home this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have scored 15.7 points per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, designating this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Trae Young has compiled 25.6 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Trae Young has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.5 rate last season. Trae Young has tallied 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a favorable one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (20.2). The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.5

Trae Young has compiled 25.6 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Trae Young has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.5 rate last season. Trae Young has tallied 36.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a favorable one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (20.2). The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Washington Wizards are away from home, opposing squads have attempted an enormous 24.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Washington Wizards are away from home, opposing squads have attempted an enormous 24.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Clint Capela slots into the 4th percentile for three-point proficiency with a a subpar 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Clint Capela has attempted 0.0 treys per game at home this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Clint Capela measures in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Clint Capela

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Among all players in the league, Clint Capela slots into the 4th percentile for three-point proficiency with a a subpar 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Clint Capela has attempted 0.0 treys per game at home this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Clint Capela measures in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Wizards (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma places in the 96th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 18.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 30.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goals (28th-best in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma places in the 96th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 18.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 30.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goals (28th-best in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jalen Johnson has sunk 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing at home. Jalen Johnson has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The matchup against the Wizards is a good one; they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (18.6). The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jalen Johnson has sunk 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing at home. Jalen Johnson has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The matchup against the Wizards is a good one; they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (18.6). The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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