Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
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Golden State @ Milwaukee props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+116

Kevon Looney has successfully made 88.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. The number of shots from the field against Brook Lopez has been very high (11.7 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Kevon Looney has successfully made 88.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. The number of shots from the field against Brook Lopez has been very high (11.7 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 80.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have tallied 33.7 3-point attempts per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 90.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 80.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have tallied 33.7 3-point attempts per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 90.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has made 56.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.4% higher than he's converted overall this year. Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 53.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 23.9% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have tallied 33.7 3-point attempts per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Jonathan Kuminga has made 56.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.4% higher than he's converted overall this year. Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 53.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 23.9% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have tallied 33.7 3-point attempts per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has converted 56.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Warriors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense). Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Pat Connaughton has converted 56.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Warriors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense). Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-122

Khris Middleton has attempted 10.8 shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Khris Middleton has played 29.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's played overall this year. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup. The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Khris Middleton has attempted 10.8 shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Khris Middleton has played 29.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's played overall this year. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup. The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 9.6 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Brandin Podziemski has converted 39.5% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Brandin Podziemski has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. This year, the other team's starting PGs have compiled 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, making this a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 9.6 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Brandin Podziemski has converted 39.5% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Brandin Podziemski has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. This year, the other team's starting PGs have compiled 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, making this a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Bobby Portis lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. Over the last 5 games, their opposition has scored 128.8 points per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors). The Bucks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has failed to convert 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 higher than he's missed in all games this year.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Among all players in the league, Bobby Portis lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. Over the last 5 games, their opposition has scored 128.8 points per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors). The Bucks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has failed to convert 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 higher than he's missed in all games this year.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dario Saric

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 96th percentile, totaling a massive 25.0 points per game this year. Damian Lillard has converted 3.9 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing at home. Damian Lillard has tallied 35.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against Golden State is a positive one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.4).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard slots into the 96th percentile, totaling a massive 25.0 points per game this year. Damian Lillard has converted 3.9 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing at home. Damian Lillard has tallied 35.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against Golden State is a positive one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.4).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-115

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile). The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors). The Bucks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile). The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors). The Bucks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has logged 22.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's logged in all games this season. Klay Thompson has made 4.3 treys per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.2 buckets per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Klay Thompson has logged 22.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's logged in all games this season. Klay Thompson has made 4.3 treys per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.2 buckets per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

Malik Beasley has successfully made 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year on his home court. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 75th percentile. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Warriors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Malik Beasley has successfully made 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year on his home court. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 75th percentile. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Warriors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.9
Best Odds
Over
-104

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 11.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4). The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.9
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.9

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 11.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4). The speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-111

Stephen Curry has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have compiled 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, making this a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Compared to last season's 4.4 rate, Stephen Curry's foul shots hit have jumped this season to 5.4 per game.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Stephen Curry has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have compiled 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, making this a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Compared to last season's 4.4 rate, Stephen Curry's foul shots hit have jumped this season to 5.4 per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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