Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN, Sportsnet, Altitude Sports

Indiana @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. Christian Braun will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Christian Braun

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. Christian Braun will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Jalen Smith Points Scored Props • Indiana

J. Smith
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
+108

Jalen Smith has successfully made an impressive 67.6% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly higher than his 45.9 mark last season. Jalen Smith has converted an impressive 57.2% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 25.4 mark last season. Jalen Smith has averaged 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year. In terms of offense, the Pacers's outstanding 126.1 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year. The quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.

Jalen Smith

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Jalen Smith has successfully made an impressive 67.6% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly higher than his 45.9 mark last season. Jalen Smith has converted an impressive 57.2% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 25.4 mark last season. Jalen Smith has averaged 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year. In terms of offense, the Pacers's outstanding 126.1 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year. The quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Myles Turner has made 58.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Pacers's outstanding 126.1 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (31.7). The quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers. Myles Turner has made 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.

Myles Turner

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Myles Turner has made 58.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Pacers's outstanding 126.1 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (31.7). The quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers. Myles Turner has made 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Over
-114

Nikola Jokic has converted 73.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Nikola Jokic has converted 56.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

Nikola Jokic has converted 73.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Nikola Jokic has converted 56.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Aaron Gordon has sunk 68.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 44.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 15.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 30.9 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Aaron Gordon has sunk 68.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 44.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 15.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 30.9 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Buddy Hield has notched a mere 12.5 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 16.8 points per game last year. Buddy Hield has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Buddy Hield has notched a mere 12.5 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 16.8 points per game last year. Buddy Hield has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense). Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense). Andrew Nembhard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
+110

Jamal Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season. The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Nuggets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, their opposition has collected 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

Jamal Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season. The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Nuggets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, their opposition has collected 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has made 72.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's converted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, T.J. McConnell ranks in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a measly 1.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. In terms of offense, the Pacers's outstanding 126.1 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team this year (111.1). The quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

T.J. McConnell has made 72.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's converted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, T.J. McConnell ranks in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a measly 1.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. In terms of offense, the Pacers's outstanding 126.1 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team this year (111.1). The quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 23.1 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line. Bennedict Mathurin will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 23.1 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line. Bennedict Mathurin will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 84th percentile for 3-point prowess with a an excellent 40.4% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 84th percentile for 3-point prowess with a an excellent 40.4% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Brown
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-121
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-121
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense). Bruce Brown will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team has nabbed 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense). Bruce Brown will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 13 games at home, 29.0% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. Peyton Watson has converted a whopping 62.5% of his foul shots this year, a sizeable increase from his 45.7 rate last year.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 13 games at home, 29.0% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.6). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. Peyton Watson has converted a whopping 62.5% of his foul shots this year, a sizeable increase from his 45.7 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 6.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. Michael Porter Jr. has made 93.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 6.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's impressive 123.4 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets. Michael Porter Jr. has made 93.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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