LIVE 06:02 1st Oct 6
DEN 14 2.5 o216.5
BOS 13 -2.5 u216.5
NY -4.5 o218.5
CHA 4.5 u218.5
WAS -3.5 o221.5
TOR 3.5 u221.5
MIL 1.0 o220.5
DET -1.0 u220.5
PHO 2.0 o223.0
LAL -2.0 u223.0
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
TSN, BSN

Miami @ Orlando props

Kia Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has converted 53.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 9.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. Kevin Love has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's exceptional 38.0% rate of sunk threes measures as the 5th-best in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense). Kevin Love has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Kevin Love

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Kevin Love has converted 53.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 9.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. Kevin Love has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's exceptional 38.0% rate of sunk threes measures as the 5th-best in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense). Kevin Love has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+106

Jalen Suggs has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Jalen Suggs has made 3.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's made overall this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Jalen Suggs will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Jalen Suggs has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Jalen Suggs has made 3.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's made overall this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Jalen Suggs will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
+100

Relative to last season's 9.2 clip, Tyler Herro's unsuccessful shots have spiked this season to 10.7 per game. The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Relative to last season's 9.2 clip, Tyler Herro's unsuccessful shots have spiked this season to 10.7 per game. The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Under
-103

Jimmy Butler has converted a measly 6.6 buckets per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.0 mark last season. Jimmy Butler has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Jimmy Butler has converted a measly 6.6 buckets per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.0 mark last season. Jimmy Butler has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 51.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Wendell Carter Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 51.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Wendell Carter Jr. has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Wendell Carter Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
+106

Duncan Robinson has made a whopping 2.9 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.7 rate last year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's exceptional 38.0% rate of sunk threes measures as the 5th-best in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense). Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Duncan Robinson has made a whopping 2.9 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.7 rate last year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's exceptional 38.0% rate of sunk threes measures as the 5th-best in the league this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense). Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Cole Anthony Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Anthony
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Cole Anthony has made 19.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 11.1% less than he's sunk over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Cole Anthony rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.

Cole Anthony

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Cole Anthony has made 19.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 11.1% less than he's sunk over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Cole Anthony rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Paolo Banchero has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.1 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Paolo Banchero has tallied 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Paolo Banchero has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.1 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Paolo Banchero has tallied 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Franz Wagner has made 45.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.0% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Franz Wagner has played 33.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Franz Wagner has attempted 6.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Franz Wagner has made 45.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.0% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Franz Wagner has played 33.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Franz Wagner has attempted 6.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-118

The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Caleb Martin stands to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Caleb Martin stands to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.

Markelle Fultz Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Fultz
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls. Markelle Fultz will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Markelle Fultz

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls. Markelle Fultz will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic registers in the 80th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a an exceptional 39.5% rate this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's exceptional 38.0% rate of sunk threes measures as the 5th-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for scoring; when the Orlando Magic are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have put up the 21st-highest FG% in the NBA this year (49.9%). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense). Nikola Jovic has made 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 32.5% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.3

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic registers in the 80th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a an exceptional 39.5% rate this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's exceptional 38.0% rate of sunk threes measures as the 5th-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for scoring; when the Orlando Magic are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have put up the 21st-highest FG% in the NBA this year (49.9%). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark more chances for offense). Nikola Jovic has made 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 32.5% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 12.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 12.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic