LIVE 04:37 1st Oct 6
DEN 16 2.5 o216.5
BOS 20 -2.5 u216.5
NY -4.5 o218.5
CHA 4.5 u218.5
WAS -3.5 o221.5
TOR 3.5 u221.5
MIL 1.0 o220.5
DET -1.0 u220.5
PHO 2.0 o223.0
LAL -2.0 u223.0
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
TSN, BSN

Memphis @ Toronto props

Scotiabank Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 5.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Xavier Tillman has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The number of points averaged against Jontay Porter has been remarkably high (18.8 per game) when he is playing at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA while on the road this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Xavier Tillman has successfully made 5.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Xavier Tillman has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The number of points averaged against Jontay Porter has been remarkably high (18.8 per game) when he is playing at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA while on the road this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Toronto Raptors).

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

David Roddy has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has totaled 120.6 points per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Raptors, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. David Roddy should suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

David Roddy

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

David Roddy has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has totaled 120.6 points per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Raptors, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. David Roddy should suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Under
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama slots into the 80th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Santi Aldama has successfully made a measly 58.2% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 70.0 mark last season. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Santi Aldama will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama slots into the 80th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Santi Aldama has successfully made a measly 58.2% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 70.0 mark last season. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Santi Aldama will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

RJ Barrett has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season. The Raptors have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 9.7 field goal attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, marking this as a challenging matchup. Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

RJ Barrett has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season. The Raptors have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 9.7 field goal attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, marking this as a challenging matchup. Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Dennis Schroder has successfully made 51.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.3% more than he's made in all games this season. Dennis Schroder has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. Compared to last season's 0.1 mark, Dennis Schroder's technical fouls have dropped this season to 0.0 per game. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Dennis Schroder has successfully made 51.2% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.3% more than he's made in all games this season. Dennis Schroder has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. Compared to last season's 0.1 mark, Dennis Schroder's technical fouls have dropped this season to 0.0 per game. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors.

Jontay Porter Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Porter
center C • Toronto
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jontay Porter has averaged 21.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team has brought down 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense).

Jontay Porter

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Jontay Porter has averaged 21.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team has brought down 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense).

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-124

Among all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.1). Vince Williams Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Among all players in the NBA, Vince Williams Jr. places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.1). Vince Williams Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.6 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.6 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Toronto

B. Brown
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has successfully made 40.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 13.6% higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team has brought down 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense).

Bruce Brown

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Bruce Brown has successfully made 40.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 13.6% higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team has brought down 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense).

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 53.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team has brought down 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense).

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 53.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 9thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team has brought down 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-110

Luke Kennard has compiled 13.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Luke Kennard has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Luke Kennard has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 more than he's played over the course of the year. Luke Kennard has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (19th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA while on the road this year.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Luke Kennard has compiled 13.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Luke Kennard has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Luke Kennard has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 more than he's played over the course of the year. Luke Kennard has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (19th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA while on the road this year.

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-118

Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes slots into the 90th percentile for shots from the field drained, logging an enormous 7.6 per game this year. Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 6.5 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, creating a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors.

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes slots into the 90th percentile for shots from the field drained, logging an enormous 7.6 per game this year. Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 6.5 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, creating a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Immanuel Quickley registers in the 81st percentile for shots from the field, putting up 11.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Immanuel Quickley lands in the 83rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on his home court, tallying 5.6 per game this year. Immanuel Quickley has played 31.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors.

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Among all players in the NBA, Immanuel Quickley registers in the 81st percentile for shots from the field, putting up 11.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Immanuel Quickley lands in the 83rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on his home court, tallying 5.6 per game this year. Immanuel Quickley has played 31.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should raise possessions for the Raptors.

John Konchar Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Konchar
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
-140
Projection Rating

John Konchar has sunk a lowly 32.2% of his field goals this season, a significant dropoff from his 38.7 rate last season. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, struggling to draw fouls. John Konchar will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance for all stats.

John Konchar

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

John Konchar has sunk a lowly 32.2% of his field goals this season, a significant dropoff from his 38.7 rate last season. In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, struggling to draw fouls. John Konchar will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance for all stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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