LIVE 04:37 1st Oct 6
DEN 16 2.5 o216.5
BOS 20 -2.5 u216.5
NY -4.5 o218.5
CHA 4.5 u218.5
WAS -3.5 o221.5
TOR 3.5 u221.5
MIL 1.0 o220.5
DET -1.0 u220.5
PHO 2.0 o223.0
LAL -2.0 u223.0
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
BSN, NBCSB

Boston @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 55.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 23.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 55.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 23.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Sam Hauser measures in the 78th percentile for 3-point proficiency away from home with a an exceptional 39.5% rate this year. Sam Hauser has attempted 5.6 treys per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Sam Hauser

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Among all players in the NBA, Sam Hauser measures in the 78th percentile for 3-point proficiency away from home with a an exceptional 39.5% rate this year. Sam Hauser has attempted 5.6 treys per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 63.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 63.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

With respect to shooting, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 45.0% field goal percentage without the home court advantage places 5th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for threes; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has collected 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). Jayson Tatum has attempted a measly 7.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 8.1 mark last season. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (13th-least in the league).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.4
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.4

With respect to shooting, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 45.0% field goal percentage without the home court advantage places 5th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for threes; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8). Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has collected 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). Jayson Tatum has attempted a measly 7.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 8.1 mark last season. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (13th-least in the league).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Mavericks have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

The Mavericks have been the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 97th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an exceptional 67.8% rate this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition has put up the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.2%). When defending other starting Cs, Al Horford has been in the 96th percentile with a massive 2.3 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 97th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an exceptional 67.8% rate this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition has put up the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.2%). When defending other starting Cs, Al Horford has been in the 96th percentile with a massive 2.3 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-109

Al Horford has made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Al Horford has made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 17.9 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 treys per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 17.9 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 treys per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has made 2.0 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Jrue Holiday has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Jrue Holiday has made 2.0 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Jrue Holiday has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-103

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.9 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 mark last season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition has put up the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.2%). The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.9 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 mark last season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition has put up the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.2%). The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Josh Green has sunk 48.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Josh Green has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Josh Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Josh Green has sunk 48.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Josh Green has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Derrick White has sunk 2.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Derrick White

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Derrick White has sunk 2.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has tallied 33.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.2 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 36.7 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.6
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.6

Luka Doncic has tallied 33.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.2 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 36.7 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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