LIVE 00:34 4th Oct 6
DEN 101 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
NY -2.5 o215.5
CHA 2.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 2.5 o218.5
DET -2.5 u218.5
PHO 2.5 o221.0
LAL -2.5 u221.0
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
TSN, BSN

Toronto @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Toronto

B. Brown
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has made 54.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Bruce Brown has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 22.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Bruce Brown has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Bruce Brown has made 54.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Bruce Brown has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 22.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Bruce Brown has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point shots. The Hawks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 23.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the NBA). Scottie Barnes will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point shots. The Hawks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 23.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the NBA). Scottie Barnes will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu measures in the 77th percentile for field goal prowess while playing at home with a a remarkable 51.9% rate this year. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu measures in the 77th percentile for field goal prowess while playing at home with a a remarkable 51.9% rate this year. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Chris Boucher Points Scored Props • Toronto

C. Boucher
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Chris Boucher

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Under
-122

RJ Barrett has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point shots. The Hawks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hawks, struggling to get to the charity stripe. RJ Barrett ought to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

RJ Barrett has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point shots. The Hawks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hawks, struggling to get to the charity stripe. RJ Barrett ought to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Compared to last season's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.4 per game. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Compared to last season's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.4 per game. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Under
-110

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes on their home court comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Toronto is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Raptors are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3). Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (15th-least in the league).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes on their home court comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Toronto is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Raptors are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3). Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (15th-least in the league).

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes on their home court comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes on their home court comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes on their home court comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot 23.6% on 3-pointers (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making this a hard matchup. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup against Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.4% rate of successful threes on their home court comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot 23.6% on 3-pointers (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making this a hard matchup. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup against Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Garrison Mathews Points Scored Props • Atlanta

G. Mathews
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Garrison Mathews has successfully made 60.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Garrison Mathews

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Garrison Mathews has successfully made 60.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-124

The matchup with Thaddeus Young rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs totaling a massive 17.2 points per game this year. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Clint Capela has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

The matchup with Thaddeus Young rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs totaling a massive 17.2 points per game this year. The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks. The Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Clint Capela has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted a measly 10.1 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 14.1 mark last season. Gary Trent Jr. has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point shots. The Hawks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Gary Trent Jr. stands to see a decline in output across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted a measly 10.1 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 14.1 mark last season. Gary Trent Jr. has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point shots. The Hawks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Gary Trent Jr. stands to see a decline in output across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Thaddeus Young Points Scored Props • Toronto

T. Young
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

In comparison to last year's 13.9% mark, Thaddeus Young's three-point prowess has increased this year to 25.0%. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.8 foul shots per game (80th percentile).

Thaddeus Young

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

In comparison to last year's 13.9% mark, Thaddeus Young's three-point prowess has increased this year to 25.0%. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.8 foul shots per game (80th percentile).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-134

Saddiq Bey has attempted 6.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Saddiq Bey measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Toronto is a good one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (23.9). The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Saddiq Bey has attempted 6.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Saddiq Bey measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Toronto is a good one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (23.9). The 3rd-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Hawks.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-114

Dennis Schroder has attempted 4.4 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Schroder slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. In comparison to last season's 0.1 mark, Dennis Schroder's technical fouls have been reduced this season to 0.0 per game. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Dennis Schroder has attempted 4.4 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Dennis Schroder slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. In comparison to last season's 0.1 mark, Dennis Schroder's technical fouls have been reduced this season to 0.0 per game. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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