NY -2.5 o215.5
CHA 2.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 2.5 o217.0
DET -2.5 u217.0
PHO 2.5 o222.0
LAL -2.5 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
NBALP

Milwaukee @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 29.7% clip, Jae Crowder's three-point efficiency has increased this year to 43.4%. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Jae Crowder

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

In contrast to last year's 29.7% clip, Jae Crowder's three-point efficiency has increased this year to 43.4%. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

Relative to last year's 33.6% clip, Malik Beasley's three-point efficiency has spiked this year to 42.8%. Malik Beasley has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.1 less than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Relative to last year's 33.6% clip, Malik Beasley's three-point efficiency has spiked this year to 42.8%. Malik Beasley has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.1 less than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Robin Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

R. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Robin Lopez ranks in the 99th percentile for field goal effectiveness without the home court advantage with a an excellent 75.0% rate this year. Robin Lopez has committed a measly 0.3 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.2 fouls per game last season. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Robin Lopez

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Among all players in the NBA, Robin Lopez ranks in the 99th percentile for field goal effectiveness without the home court advantage with a an excellent 75.0% rate this year. Robin Lopez has committed a measly 0.3 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.2 fouls per game last season. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has successfully made 44.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.4% higher than he's made overall this season. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Bobby Portis has successfully made 44.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.4% higher than he's made overall this season. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving has totaled 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 7.9 more than he's totaled over the course of the season at home. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Kyrie Irving has totaled 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 7.9 more than he's totaled over the course of the season at home. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-105

Compared to last season's 2.1 mark, Grant Williams's unsuccessful threes have increased this season to 2.9 per game. Grant Williams has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile). Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Grant Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Compared to last season's 2.1 mark, Grant Williams's unsuccessful threes have increased this season to 2.9 per game. Grant Williams has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile). Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-139
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-139
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for overall this year.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for overall this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s three-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

In contrast to last season's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s three-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.9
Best Odds
Under
-104

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense). The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are on their home court (13th-least in the league). Giannis Antetokounmpo should suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.9
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.9

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense). The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are on their home court (13th-least in the league). Giannis Antetokounmpo should suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Khris Middleton has registered 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Khris Middleton has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Khris Middleton has registered 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Khris Middleton has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
39.5
Points Scored
Projection
39.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
39.5 Points Scored
Projection
39.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has been reduced this year to 9.5 foul shot attempts per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 39.5 Points Scored
Projection: 39.2
Prop:
39.5 Points Scored
Projection:
39.2

In comparison to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has been reduced this year to 9.5 foul shot attempts per game.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Maxi Kleber has made 32.3% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among all players in the league. Maxi Kleber has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Robin Lopez has been quite low this year (1.4 free throw attempts per game: 3rd percentile).

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Maxi Kleber has made 32.3% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among all players in the league. Maxi Kleber has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Robin Lopez has been quite low this year (1.4 free throw attempts per game: 3rd percentile).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Brook Lopez has successfully made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game away from home this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Brook Lopez has successfully made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game away from home this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Over
-113

Damian Lillard has registered 24.1 points per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.0 minutes per game while on the road this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

Damian Lillard has registered 24.1 points per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.0 minutes per game while on the road this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 121.8 points per game without the home court advantage places strongest in the NBA this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-128

Josh Green has sunk 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Josh Green has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have shot 43.5% on 3-pointers (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks.

Josh Green

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Josh Green has sunk 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Josh Green has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have shot 43.5% on 3-pointers (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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