NY -2.5 o216.5
CHA 2.5 u216.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.0 o222.0
LAL -2.0 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN, Sportsnet

Toronto @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
37
Best Odds
Over
-109

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 74.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 35.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 34.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 37
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
37

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 74.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 35.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 34.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has converted 67.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 67.2% of his treys over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Aaron Wiggins has converted 67.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 67.2% of his treys over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Toronto

B. Brown
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 22.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Bruce Brown has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team. The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Bruce Brown has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 22.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Bruce Brown has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team. The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder places in the 78th percentile for shots, compiling 11.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game this year. Dennis Schroder has averaged a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last season. The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; their opposition has compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.9%). The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder places in the 78th percentile for shots, compiling 11.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game this year. Dennis Schroder has averaged a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last season. The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; their opposition has compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.9%). The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-140

Jakob Poeltl has sunk an impressive 68.4% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 62.5 mark last year. The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; their opposition has compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.9%). The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team. The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Jakob Poeltl has sunk an impressive 68.4% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 62.5 mark last year. The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; their opposition has compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.9%). The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team. The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Immanuel Quickley has notched 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.6 higher than he's notched overall this year on the road. Immanuel Quickley has made 3.4 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing away from home. Immanuel Quickley has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team.

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Immanuel Quickley has notched 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.6 higher than he's notched overall this year on the road. Immanuel Quickley has made 3.4 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing away from home. Immanuel Quickley has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

Cason Wallace

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

Jaylin Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Jaylin Williams stands to see a rise in production across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jaylin Williams

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Jaylin Williams stands to see a rise in production across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-129

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Giddey slots into the 23rd percentile for 3-point proficiency playing at home with a a subpar 25.1% rate this year. Josh Giddey has averaged a measly 24.7 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 23.6% on 3-pointers (15th-worst in the league) against the Raptors, designating this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Giddey slots into the 23rd percentile for 3-point proficiency playing at home with a a subpar 25.1% rate this year. Josh Giddey has averaged a measly 24.7 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 23.6% on 3-pointers (15th-worst in the league) against the Raptors, designating this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-102

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 79th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, compiling 1.8 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, resulting in a good matchup. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 79th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, compiling 1.8 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, resulting in a good matchup. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-111
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-111
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year on the road. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to threes. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league). Gary Trent Jr. ought to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Gary Trent Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year on the road. The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to threes. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league). Gary Trent Jr. ought to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

RJ Barrett has sunk 9.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's made overall this year. RJ Barrett has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team. The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

RJ Barrett has sunk 9.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's made overall this year. RJ Barrett has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the road team. The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense). Chet Holmgren has converted 50.4% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 23.3% lower than he's converted in all games this year. The showdown with Jakob Poeltl in terms of getting to the charity stripe registers in the 21st percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting only 2.8 free throws per game this year.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (preserving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense). Chet Holmgren has converted 50.4% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 23.3% lower than he's converted in all games this year. The showdown with Jakob Poeltl in terms of getting to the charity stripe registers in the 21st percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting only 2.8 free throws per game this year.

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to threes. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.3% on field goals (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a tough matchup. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Scottie Barnes should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to threes. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.3% on field goals (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a tough matchup. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Scottie Barnes should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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