NY -3.5 o215.5
CHA 3.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.0 o220.0
LAL -2.0 u220.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
BSN

LA @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mason Plumlee Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

M. Plumlee
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-132

The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Mason Plumlee

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic measures in the 85th percentile for shots from the field with the home court advantage, logging 13.7 per game this year. Compared to last year's 6.6 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have increased this year to 8.5 per game. Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up 111.3 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic measures in the 85th percentile for shots from the field with the home court advantage, logging 13.7 per game this year. Compared to last year's 6.6 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have increased this year to 8.5 per game. Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up 111.3 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Over
-104

Paul George has made a whopping 3.4 threes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.8 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Paul George ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for threes; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Paul George

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Paul George has made a whopping 3.4 threes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.8 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Paul George ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for threes; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter comes in at the 77th percentile for 3-point shots made when playing at home, putting up 1.8 per game this year. Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up 111.3 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). De'Andre Hunter has made 94.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 11.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter comes in at the 77th percentile for 3-point shots made when playing at home, putting up 1.8 per game this year. Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up 111.3 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). De'Andre Hunter has made 94.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 11.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

Dejounte Murray has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Atlanta Hawks's feeble 34.7% rate of successful threes with the home court advantage places 3rd-worst in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Atlanta Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers). The Clippers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Dejounte Murray has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Atlanta Hawks's feeble 34.7% rate of successful threes with the home court advantage places 3rd-worst in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Atlanta Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers). The Clippers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

James Harden has registered a measly 17.0 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 20.9 points per game last season. The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the LA Clippers. This year, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). James Harden has made a lowly 4.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 5.2 mark last season. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Clippers's feeble 20.9 free throws per game places 7th-worst in the league over the last 15 games.

James Harden

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

James Harden has registered a measly 17.0 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 20.9 points per game last season. The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the LA Clippers. This year, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). James Harden has made a lowly 4.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 5.2 mark last season. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Clippers's feeble 20.9 free throws per game places 7th-worst in the league over the last 15 games.

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Terance Mann has sunk 58.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 13.5% more than he's made over the course of the year. Terance Mann has converted 43.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 12.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the league) against the Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Terance Mann

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Terance Mann has sunk 58.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 13.5% more than he's made over the course of the year. Terance Mann has converted 43.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 12.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the league) against the Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 73.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home. The matchup against Mason Plumlee is a good one for shots from downtown; when Plumlee is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 62.5% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 73.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home. The matchup against Mason Plumlee is a good one for shots from downtown; when Plumlee is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 62.5% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
+100

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the LA Clippers. This year, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). Kawhi Leonard has made a lowly 3.7 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.8 rate last year. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Clippers's feeble 20.9 free throws per game places 7th-worst in the league over the last 15 games. Kawhi Leonard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the LA Clippers. This year, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense). Kawhi Leonard has made a lowly 3.7 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.8 rate last year. When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Clippers's feeble 20.9 free throws per game places 7th-worst in the league over the last 15 games. Kawhi Leonard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Jalen Johnson has attempted 4.5 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Jalen Johnson has attempted 4.5 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Over
-104

Trae Young has converted a terrific 3.4 treys per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Trae Young ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 45.6% on field goals (24th-best in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, resulting in a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

Trae Young has converted a terrific 3.4 treys per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Trae Young ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 45.6% on field goals (24th-best in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, resulting in a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Norman Powell has attempted 5.9 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Norman Powell

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Norman Powell has attempted 5.9 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. The Clippers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 10thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Saddiq Bey slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Saddiq Bey slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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