Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Los Angeles 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
SPECSN, TNT

Denver @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Russell
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

D'Angelo Russell has made 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.8 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. D'Angelo Russell has sunk 3.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. D'Angelo Russell has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

D'Angelo Russell has made 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.8 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. D'Angelo Russell has sunk 3.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. D'Angelo Russell has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has successfully made 61.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 23.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Peyton Watson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Peyton Watson has successfully made 61.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 23.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Lakers, marking this as a positive matchup. The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Lakers, marking this as a positive matchup. The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Anthony Davis has been very low this year (2.5 free throw attempts per game: 3rd percentile). Nikola Jokic ought to experience a decrease in production across the board due to being on the road in this game.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Anthony Davis has been very low this year (2.5 free throw attempts per game: 3rd percentile). Nikola Jokic ought to experience a decrease in production across the board due to being on the road in this game.

Max Christie Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-132
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-132
Projection Rating

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Max Christie

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-120

LeBron James has made a lowly 9.4 baskets per game this year, significantly less than his 10.7 rate last year. LeBron James has attempted a measly 5.3 treys per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.8 rate last season. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

LeBron James

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

LeBron James has made a lowly 9.4 baskets per game this year, significantly less than his 10.7 rate last year. LeBron James has attempted a measly 5.3 treys per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.8 rate last season. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

T. Prince
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Taurean Prince measures in the 80th percentile for three-point attempts when playing at home, posting 5.2 per game this year. Taurean Prince has tallied a terrific 30.1 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 22.2 minutes per game last year. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have tallied 30.1 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Out of all players in the league, Taurean Prince measures in the 80th percentile for three-point attempts when playing at home, posting 5.2 per game this year. Taurean Prince has tallied a terrific 30.1 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 22.2 minutes per game last year. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have tallied 30.1 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season while on the road. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 15.8 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season while on the road. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 15.8 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Justin Holiday Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Holiday
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have shot 37.1% on field goal attempts (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Lakers, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. Among all players in the league, Justin Holiday registers in the 4th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a a poor 50.0% rate since the start of last season. Justin Holiday stands to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

Justin Holiday

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.9

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have shot 37.1% on field goal attempts (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Lakers, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. Among all players in the league, Justin Holiday registers in the 4th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a a poor 50.0% rate since the start of last season. Justin Holiday stands to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Austin Reaves has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Austin Reaves has averaged 30.0 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. Austin Reaves has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Austin Reaves has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Austin Reaves has averaged 30.0 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. Austin Reaves has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Under
-129

Anthony Davis has sunk 25.5% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Davis

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Anthony Davis has sunk 25.5% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-104

Aaron Gordon has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6). The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Aaron Gordon has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Aaron Gordon has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6). The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-117

Rui Hachimura has made 59.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Rui Hachimura has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are on the road (21st-most in the NBA).

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Rui Hachimura has made 59.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Rui Hachimura has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Lakers's fantastic 123.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are on the road (21st-most in the NBA).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.7 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6). The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.7 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6). The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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