Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
NBALP

Houston @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-110

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 14.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 11.1 mark last year. Compared to last season's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 8.4 per game. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 14.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 11.1 mark last year. Compared to last season's 6.6 clip, Bogdan Bogdanovic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 8.4 per game. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-110

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile). In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Onyeka Okongwu is a difficult one for treys; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a mere 0.3 3-point shots per game (3rd percentile). The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has failed to convert 1.5 foul shot attempts per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 mark last year.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile). In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Onyeka Okongwu is a difficult one for treys; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a mere 0.3 3-point shots per game (3rd percentile). The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has failed to convert 1.5 foul shot attempts per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 mark last year.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 10.5 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shot attempts from the field (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 10.5 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shot attempts from the field (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-127

Dejounte Murray has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Dejounte Murray has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Garrison Mathews Points Scored Props • Atlanta

G. Mathews
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Garrison Mathews has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year. This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team has totaled the 10th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (35.7). Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 26.2 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Garrison Mathews

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.8

Garrison Mathews has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year. This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team has totaled the 10th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (35.7). Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 26.2 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks). The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has converted 88.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jeff Green

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks). The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has converted 88.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Jalen Green has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green ranks in the 90th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on the road, posting 6.1 per game this year. Jalen Green has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.

Jalen Green

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Jalen Green has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green ranks in the 90th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on the road, posting 6.1 per game this year. Jalen Green has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Jae'Sean Tate has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 24.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league). Jae'Sean Tate is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jae'Sean Tate

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Jae'Sean Tate has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 24.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league). Jae'Sean Tate is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (100th percentile). In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA). Dillon Brooks stands to experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (100th percentile). In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games. The Hawks have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA). Dillon Brooks stands to experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-108

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (15th-weakest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, making this a tough matchup.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (15th-weakest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, making this a tough matchup.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Relative to last year's 6.5 clip, Trae Young's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 9.0 per game. Trae Young has tallied 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 22nd-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%). The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Trae Young

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

Relative to last year's 6.5 clip, Trae Young's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 9.0 per game. Trae Young has tallied 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 22nd-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%). The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Amen Thompson has converted 56.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road. Amen Thompson has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 29.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing on the road. Amen Thompson has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Amen Thompson has converted 56.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road. Amen Thompson has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 29.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing on the road. Amen Thompson has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday has converted 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.3% more than he's made overall this year. The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks). The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Aaron Holiday has converted 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.3% more than he's made overall this year. The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks). The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has made 71.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Onyeka Okongwu has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup vs. Jeff Green is a good one; he has allowed a massive 16.6 points per game while playing on the road when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Onyeka Okongwu has made 71.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Onyeka Okongwu has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup vs. Jeff Green is a good one; he has allowed a massive 16.6 points per game while playing on the road when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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