New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
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New Orleans @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-120

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the NBA on the road with only 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Compared to last year's 6.2 rate, Brandon Ingram's number of foul shots has dropped this year to 5.0 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Grizzlies may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the NBA on the road with only 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Compared to last year's 6.2 rate, Brandon Ingram's number of foul shots has dropped this year to 5.0 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Grizzlies may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 64.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point proficiency without the home court advantage with a a terrific 47.0% rate this year. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense). Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have attempted 18.7 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 64.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point proficiency without the home court advantage with a a terrific 47.0% rate this year. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense). Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have attempted 18.7 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

John Konchar Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Konchar
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the league, John Konchar lands in the 15th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a poor 37.5% rate this year. John Konchar has averaged 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Konchar

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Out of all players in the league, John Konchar lands in the 15th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a poor 37.5% rate this year. John Konchar has averaged 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson comes in at the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a difficult matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the NBA on the road with only 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson comes in at the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a difficult matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the NBA on the road with only 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-106

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 39.7% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the NBA on the road with only 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Trey Murphy III ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 39.7% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 10thworst in in the NBA on the road with only 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Trey Murphy III ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-132
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-132
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (100th percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (100th percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jonas Valanciunas has made 77.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.0% more than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense). Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's sunk overall this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jaren Jackson Jr. has been remarkably high this year (3.8 free throw attempts per game when they are on the away squad: 77th percentile).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Jonas Valanciunas has made 77.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.0% more than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense). Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's sunk overall this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jaren Jackson Jr. has been remarkably high this year (3.8 free throw attempts per game when they are on the away squad: 77th percentile).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum rates in the 87th percentile, totaling a massive 19.1 points per game this year. CJ McCollum has converted a terrific 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 2.8 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have scored 22.8 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a good matchup for offensive productivity.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum rates in the 87th percentile, totaling a massive 19.1 points per game this year. CJ McCollum has converted a terrific 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 2.8 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have scored 22.8 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a good matchup for offensive productivity.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-128

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. On the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. On the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Scotty Pippen Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Pippen Jr.
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Scotty Pippen Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for three-point effectiveness playing at home with a a very good 55.0% rate since the start of last season. Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged 27.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.1). On the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Scotty Pippen Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for three-point effectiveness playing at home with a a very good 55.0% rate since the start of last season. Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged 27.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.1). On the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard has sunk 3.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. On the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard rates in the 19th percentile for off-target foul shot attempts, logging a measly 0.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 20.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team (5th-least in the league).

Luke Kennard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Luke Kennard has sunk 3.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. On the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard rates in the 19th percentile for off-target foul shot attempts, logging a measly 0.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted just 20.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team (5th-least in the league).

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-128

Herbert Jones has sunk 56.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 17.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense). In contrast to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's free-throw prowess has increased this year to 87.2%.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Herbert Jones has sunk 56.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 17.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 51.0% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus chances for offense). In contrast to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's free-throw prowess has increased this year to 87.2%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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