Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Final Nov 21
ORL 119 5.0 o216.0
LAL 118 -5.0 u216.0
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCS - BA, ESPN, Sportsnet, Altitude Sports

Denver @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has successfully made 62.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 22.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Nikola Jokic has been very high (11.7 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing at home.

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Draymond Green has successfully made 62.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 22.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Nikola Jokic has been very high (11.7 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing at home.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game on his home court this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for three-point shots; their opposition has averaged the 3rd-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (11.4). The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 21.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are on the road (7th-least in the NBA).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game on his home court this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for three-point shots; their opposition has averaged the 3rd-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (11.4). The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 21.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are on the road (7th-least in the NBA).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 46.8% field goal percentage as the home team places 6th-fewest in the league this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has failed to make 1.1 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.7 mark last season.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Jonathan Kuminga has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 46.8% field goal percentage as the home team places 6th-fewest in the league this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has failed to make 1.1 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.7 mark last season.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 46.8% field goal percentage as the home team places 6th-fewest in the league this year. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 15.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup for offensive performance. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 46.8% field goal percentage as the home team places 6th-fewest in the league this year. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 15.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup for offensive performance. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets). The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game away from home this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's unimpressive 109.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The showdown with Draymond Green slots into the 7th percentile with rival starting Cs burying just 25.1% of their treys this year. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game away from home this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's unimpressive 109.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The showdown with Draymond Green slots into the 7th percentile with rival starting Cs burying just 25.1% of their treys this year. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 14.2 mark, Andrew Wiggins's shots have decreased this year to 10.7 per game. Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year. In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 46.8% field goal percentage as the home team places 6th-fewest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Compared to last year's 14.2 mark, Andrew Wiggins's shots have decreased this year to 10.7 per game. Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year. In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 46.8% field goal percentage as the home team places 6th-fewest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 80th percentile for field goal proficiency on the road with a a phenomenal 52.8% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, creating a favorable matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 80th percentile for field goal proficiency on the road with a a phenomenal 52.8% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, creating a favorable matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 8.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's converted in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 8.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's converted in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's unimpressive 109.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a massive 24.2 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league). Reggie Jackson will likely experience a decrease in performance across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's unimpressive 109.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a massive 24.2 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league). Reggie Jackson will likely experience a decrease in performance across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has sunk 10.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's converted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 12.0 per game this year. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Stephen Curry has sunk 10.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's converted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 12.0 per game this year. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray rates in the 92nd percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 16.5 per game this year. Jamal Murray has made 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has tallied 31.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (25th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray rates in the 92nd percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 16.5 per game this year. Jamal Murray has made 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has tallied 31.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (25th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors).

Lester Quinones Points Scored Props • Golden State

L. Quinones
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+150
Under
-185
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+150
Under
-185

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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