Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
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Dallas @ Cleveland props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.4 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. P.J. Washington has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.4 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. P.J. Washington has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Luka Doncic has attempted just 9.4 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 10.5 mark last year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.3
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.3

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Luka Doncic has attempted just 9.4 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 10.5 mark last year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Josh Green has successfully made 51.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Josh Green has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while on the road.

Josh Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Josh Green has successfully made 51.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Josh Green has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while on the road.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.2 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 11.9 mark last year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.2 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 11.9 mark last year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has made 77.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a good one for shots from the field; when Allen is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 62.0% of their shot attempts from the field (97th percentile). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Dereck Lively II has made 77.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's superb 121.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a good one for shots from the field; when Allen is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 62.0% of their shot attempts from the field (97th percentile). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Max Strus ranks in the 94th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 7.0 per game this year. Max Strus has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 10.2% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home.

Max Strus

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Among all players in the league, Max Strus ranks in the 94th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 7.0 per game this year. Max Strus has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 10.2% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court (13th-least in the league). Kyrie Irving ought to see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court (13th-least in the league). Kyrie Irving ought to see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jarrett Allen has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The number of 3-point shots attempted against Dereck Lively II has been quite high (2.7 per game) when on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Jarrett Allen has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Jarrett Allen has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The number of 3-point shots attempted against Dereck Lively II has been quite high (2.7 per game) when on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Cleveland

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 10.2 clip, Caris LeVert's shots have jumped this season to 12.3 per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Caris LeVert has sunk 94.4% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. This matchup is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted just 21.5 free throws per game when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road this year (8th-least in the league).

Caris LeVert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

In comparison to last season's 10.2 clip, Caris LeVert's shots have jumped this season to 12.3 per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Caris LeVert has sunk 94.4% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. This matchup is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted just 21.5 free throws per game when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road this year (8th-least in the league).

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-108

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Darius Garland will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Darius Garland

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Cavaliers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Darius Garland will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
center C • Cleveland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-114

Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley rates in the 88th percentile for shooting ability playing at home with a a great 58.2% rate this year. Evan Mobley has sunk 53.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 19.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Evan Mobley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley rates in the 88th percentile for shooting ability playing at home with a a great 58.2% rate this year. Evan Mobley has sunk 53.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 19.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 99th percentile, totaling an enormous 28.1 points per game this year. Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 three-pointers per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The rate of field goals hit against Kyrie Irving has been quite high (51.8%) when he is playing on the road and defending fellow starting SGs this year (93rd percentile).

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 99th percentile, totaling an enormous 28.1 points per game this year. Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 three-pointers per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The rate of field goals hit against Kyrie Irving has been quite high (51.8%) when he is playing on the road and defending fellow starting SGs this year (93rd percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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