BOS -4.5 o198.0
ORL 4.5 u198.0
IND 5.5 o230.5
MIL -5.5 u230.5
LAL 3.0 o206.5
MIN -3.0 u206.5
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-36
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
NBALP, MNMT, NBCS - BA

Golden State @ Washington picks

Capital One Arena

GS vs WAS Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
L. Shamet o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -115
11.5 -115
11.5 -127
11.5 -108
11.5 -120
11.5 -110
12.5 +100
12.5 -122

The speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Wizards. The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). The Wizards rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Landry Shamet has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Points Scored
T. Jones o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -120 bet365
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -120
11.5 -110
11.5 -130
11.5 -103
11.5 -145
11.5 +106
11.5 -125
11.5 -105
11.5 -120
11.5 -102

In comparison to last season's 3.7 rate, Tyus Jones's field goals sunk have jumped this season to 5.1 per game. Tyus Jones has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one; when the Golden State Warriors are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (24.4). The speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Wizards. The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Points Scored
D. Green o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -115 fanduel
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -125
8.5 -105
8.5 -137
8.5 +104
8.5 -132
8.5 -104
8.5 -140
8.5 +110
8.5 -115
8.5 -105

Draymond Green has sunk 60.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 9.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year without the home court advantage. Draymond Green has successfully made 72.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. The matchup against Marvin Bagley III is a positive one; he has allowed a colossal 19.0 points per game with the home court advantage when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

Total Assists
J. Poole o3.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +115 bet365
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +115
3.5 -145
3.5 -105
3.5 -127
3.5 -123
3.5 -111
3.5 -110
3.5 -120
3.5 -108
3.5 -112

Jordan Poole has compiled 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.2 more than he's compiled in all games this season at home. Jordan Poole has tallied 29.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Wizards. The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). The Wizards rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
K. Thompson o16.5 Points Scored
Projection 18.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -115 draftkings
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
16.5 -115
16.5 -115
16.5 -119
16.5 -115
16.5 -115
16.5 -115
17.5 +100
17.5 -122

Klay Thompson has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 81st percentile. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have totaled 29.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Wizards, making this a hard matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Wizards). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 13thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Total Rebounds
M. Bagley III o8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 9.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +100 draftkings
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -103
8.5 -133
8.5 +100
8.5 -130
8.5 -106
8.5 -114

Marvin Bagley III has posted 5.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Marvin Bagley III has averaged 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Wizards. The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). The Wizards rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
T. Jones u9.5 Total Assists
Projection 8.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u9.5 -112 fanduel
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -103
9.5 -130
9.5 -118
9.5 -118
9.5 -110
9.5 -120
9.5 -108
9.5 -112

Tyus Jones has gone under 9.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Points Scored
M. Moody u10.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u10.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 423 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 -109
10.5 -125
10.5 -110
10.5 -120
10.5 -102
10.5 -120

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have come down with 12.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 25 games, totaling just 19.4 foul shots per game. Moses Moody will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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