San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
BSN, Space City Home Network

San Antonio @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Keldon Johnson has played 28.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one for 3-point shots; opposing squads have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.6%). The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Keldon Johnson has played 28.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one for 3-point shots; opposing squads have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.6%). The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

Dillon Brooks has made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year on his home court. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Dillon Brooks has made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year on his home court. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Tre Jones has sunk 61.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing away from home. Tre Jones has made 83.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 53.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs.

Tre Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Tre Jones has sunk 61.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing away from home. Tre Jones has made 83.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 53.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs.

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs. The matchup vs. Houston may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (27th-most in the league).

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Spurs. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Spurs. The matchup vs. Houston may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (27th-most in the league).

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on three-pointers (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a tough matchup. The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense). Devin Vassell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Devin Vassell

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on three-pointers (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a tough matchup. The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense). Devin Vassell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense). Victor Wembanyama is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense). Victor Wembanyama is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-104

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on threes (30th-highest in the league) against the Spurs, making this a strong matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on threes (30th-highest in the league) against the Spurs, making this a strong matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-102

Jalen Green has attempted 18.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Green has attempted 9.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on shots from the field (29th-best in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a positive matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Jalen Green has attempted 18.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Green has attempted 9.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on shots from the field (29th-best in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a positive matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has converted 57.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year at home. Amen Thompson has tallied 26.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Amen Thompson has converted 57.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year at home. Amen Thompson has tallied 26.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 7.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 7.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

Jeremy Sochan has missed 5.5 field goals per game away from his home court this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 75th percentile for misses on the road. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.7%). The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense). Jeremy Sochan should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this contest.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Jeremy Sochan has missed 5.5 field goals per game away from his home court this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 75th percentile for misses on the road. The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.7%). The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense). Jeremy Sochan should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this contest.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Alperen Sengun has made 8.2 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a favorable one; he has given up a massive 16.9 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Alperen Sengun has made 8.2 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a favorable one; he has given up a massive 16.9 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 3rd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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