MEM -8.0 o217.5
DAL 8.0 u217.5
OKC -3.0 o219.0
SA 3.0 u219.0
HOU -4.0 o217.5
UTA 4.0 u217.5
Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
TNT, NBATV

Boston @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (100.8). Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.4% more than he's made overall this season. This year, opposing squads have attempted 18.5 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Reggie Jackson stands to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (100.8). Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.4% more than he's made overall this season. This year, opposing squads have attempted 18.5 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Reggie Jackson stands to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Derrick White has attempted 11.3 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 9.2 rate last year. Derrick White has converted a terrific 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.0 rate last year. Derrick White has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 86th percentile. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Derrick White

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Derrick White has attempted 11.3 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 9.2 rate last year. Derrick White has converted a terrific 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.0 rate last year. Derrick White has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 86th percentile. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 57.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Jrue Holiday has made 57.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the NBA).

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 57.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Jrue Holiday has made 57.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the NBA).

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 12.4% more than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3). The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (11.7 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 12.4% more than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3). The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (11.7 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-122

Aaron Gordon has made 56.4% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. Aaron Gordon has sunk 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home. Aaron Gordon will likely see a spike in output in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Aaron Gordon has made 56.4% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. Aaron Gordon has sunk 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home. Aaron Gordon will likely see a spike in output in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-106

Jamal Murray has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (86th percentile). The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Celtics have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Jamal Murray has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (86th percentile). The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Celtics have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
+106
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
+106
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Celtics have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Celtics have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope stands to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope stands to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Under
-109

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.9). The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.9). The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Under
-121

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Al Horford has converted 50.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 12.6% more than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3). Al Horford has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home.

Al Horford

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Al Horford has converted 50.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 12.6% more than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the 2nd-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3). Al Horford has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 8.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a positive matchup. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 8.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a positive matchup. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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