Final Nov 23
NY 106 -8.5 o234.0
UTA 121 8.5 u234.0
Final Nov 23
DET 100 9.0 o207.5
ORL 111 -9.0 u207.5
Final Nov 23
CHA 119 8.0 o224.0
MIL 125 -8.0 u224.0
Final Nov 23
MEM 142 -4.0 o244.0
CHI 131 4.0 u244.0
Final Nov 23
POR 104 11.5 o226.5
HOU 98 -11.5 u226.5
Final Nov 23
GS 94 -3.5 o229.0
SA 104 3.5 u229.0
Final Nov 23
DEN 127 4.0 o236.0
LAL 102 -4.0 u236.0
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
KSBI OKC, BSN, NBALP, Sportsnet

Miami @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's made in all games this year. Gordon Hayward has committed 0.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Out of all players in the NBA, Gordon Hayward rates in the 78th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling a colossal 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Gordon Hayward has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's made in all games this year. Gordon Hayward has committed 0.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Out of all players in the NBA, Gordon Hayward rates in the 78th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling a colossal 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has made 50.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing away from home. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat. Nikola Jovic has made 1.6 free throws per game over the last 11 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made overall this season while on the road. The matchup against the Thunder may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Nikola Jovic has made 50.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing away from home. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat. Nikola Jovic has made 1.6 free throws per game over the last 11 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made overall this season while on the road. The matchup against the Thunder may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Duncan Robinson has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on threes (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Duncan Robinson has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on threes (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-115

Terry Rozier has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Terry Rozier has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Terry Rozier has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Terry Rozier has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-124

Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from three in all games this season on his home court. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from three in all games this season on his home court. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.7
Best Odds
Under
-107

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have tailed off this season to 7.9 per game. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (27th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.7
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.7

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have tailed off this season to 7.9 per game. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (27th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-106

Josh Giddey has attempted 10.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have notched 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Josh Giddey has attempted 10.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have notched 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 85th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an exceptional 54.7% rate this year. Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Chet Holmgren has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 85th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an exceptional 54.7% rate this year. Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Chet Holmgren has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-118

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 91st percentile for shots scored, averaging an enormous 7.7 per game this year. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The clash with Chet Holmgren registers in only the 87th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs scoring an enormous 15.7 points per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 91st percentile for shots scored, averaging an enormous 7.7 per game this year. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The clash with Chet Holmgren registers in only the 87th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs scoring an enormous 15.7 points per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-104

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-least in the league).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-least in the league).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 4.9 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 4.9 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jimmy Butler has made 57.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 7.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 59.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Jimmy Butler has made 57.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 7.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 59.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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