Miami @ Oklahoma City props

Gordon Hayward has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's made in all games this year. Gordon Hayward has committed 0.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Out of all players in the NBA, Gordon Hayward rates in the 78th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling a colossal 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Nikola Jovic has made 50.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing away from home. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat. Nikola Jovic has made 1.6 free throws per game over the last 11 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made overall this season while on the road. The matchup against the Thunder may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Duncan Robinson has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on threes (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Terry Rozier has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Terry Rozier has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from three in all games this season on his home court. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have tailed off this season to 7.9 per game. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (27th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Josh Giddey has attempted 10.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have notched 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 85th percentile for scoring efficiency with a an exceptional 54.7% rate this year. Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Chet Holmgren has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 91st percentile for shots scored, averaging an enormous 7.7 per game this year. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The clash with Chet Holmgren registers in only the 87th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs scoring an enormous 15.7 points per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-least in the league).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 4.9 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler has made 57.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 7.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 59.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Heat.

Caleb Martin has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Joe has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Wiggins has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Cason Wallace has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.