Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
BSN, NBALP

Dallas @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has made 70.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 22.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Dante Exum has tallied 24.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 5.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dante Exum

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Dante Exum has made 70.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 22.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Dante Exum has tallied 24.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 5.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled an impressive 8.9 points per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.3 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.2 rate last season. Relative to last year's 13.7 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has jumped this year to 23.7 minutes per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 less than he's averaged in all games this season. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled an impressive 8.9 points per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.3 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.2 rate last season. Relative to last year's 13.7 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has jumped this year to 23.7 minutes per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 less than he's averaged in all games this season. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Detroit

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, drawing 22.8 foul shots per game. Simone Fontecchio will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance across the board.

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, drawing 22.8 foul shots per game. Simone Fontecchio will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance across the board.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
35.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
35.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.3 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 rate last season. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a positive one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2). The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 35.1
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
35.1

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.3 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 8.2 rate last season. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a positive one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2). The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Isaiah Stewart Points Scored Props • Detroit

I. Stewart
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, drawing 22.8 foul shots per game. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (25th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Isaiah Stewart

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons. As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, drawing 22.8 foul shots per game. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (25th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 29th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (29th-least in the NBA).

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 29th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (29th-least in the NBA).

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jalen Duren has converted an impressive 5.9 baskets per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 rate last year. Jalen Duren has been on the court for a whopping 30.1 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 25.0 minutes per game last season. The clash with Daniel Gafford registers in just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs logging a massive 16.3 points per game this year. The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Jalen Duren has converted an impressive 5.9 baskets per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 rate last year. Jalen Duren has been on the court for a whopping 30.1 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 25.0 minutes per game last season. The clash with Daniel Gafford registers in just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs logging a massive 16.3 points per game this year. The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (25th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 7thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (25th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-108

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-140

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Jalen Duren has been very high this year (4.7 free throw attempts per game when they are on the visiting team: 100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Jalen Duren has been very high this year (4.7 free throw attempts per game when they are on the visiting team: 100th percentile).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

P.J. Washington has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

P.J. Washington has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Cade Cunningham has successfully made 2.7 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons. Cade Cunningham has successfully made 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while at home.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Cade Cunningham has successfully made 2.7 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to boost plays for the Pistons. Cade Cunningham has successfully made 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while at home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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