Utah @ Denver props

Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 1.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Jazz is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. In contrast to last season's 1.7 clip, Aaron Gordon's bricked foul shot attempts have declined this season to 1.3 per game. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made in all games this season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's made overall this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 58.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 19.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.0 3-point attempts per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Jazz, creating a good matchup. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.4% more than he's converted overall this season.

John Collins has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road. The Utah Jazz check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 3-point attempts per game (27th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup. The Jazz will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (30th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Reggie Jackson has sunk 88.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Reggie Jackson should see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Nikola Jokic has made 94.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. The faceoff with Walker Kessler as it relates to getting to the foul line places in just the 90th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year. Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production for all stats.

Collin Sexton has compiled 22.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 more than he's compiled in all games this year. Collin Sexton has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Collin Sexton has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 17.3% higher than he's made in all games this season at home. Jamal Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player production for all stats.

Keyonte George has sunk 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Keyonte George has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.1 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Keyonte George ranks in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler has successfully made 72.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.2% more than he's sunk overall this season away from home. Walker Kessler has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 68.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing on the road. The number of shots from the field against Nikola Jokic has been very high (11.9 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jordan Clarkson has converted 97.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 8.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this season away from his home court.

Peyton Watson has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Kris Dunn has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Christian Braun has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.