MEM -8.0 o217.5
DAL 8.0 u217.5
OKC -4.0 o219.0
SA 4.0 u219.0
HOU -4.0 o217.5
UTA 4.0 u217.5
Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Los Angeles 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
TSN, BSN, SPECSN, ESPN

Minnesota @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards lands in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have shot 37.1% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a tough matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-least in the league).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.4
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.4

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards lands in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have shot 37.1% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a tough matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-least in the league).

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-106

Rui Hachimura has successfully made 7.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's made in all games this year. Rui Hachimura has successfully made 2.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Rui Hachimura has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Rui Hachimura has successfully made 7.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's made in all games this year. Rui Hachimura has successfully made 2.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Rui Hachimura has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

LeBron James has attempted just 5.3 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 6.8 mark last season. LeBron James has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

LeBron James

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

LeBron James has attempted just 5.3 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 6.8 mark last season. LeBron James has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Under
-115

Kyle Anderson has attempted 0.6 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 18th percentile among all players in the league. Kyle Anderson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to draw fouls.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Kyle Anderson has attempted 0.6 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 18th percentile among all players in the league. Kyle Anderson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to draw fouls.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year. Spencer Dinwiddie will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year. Spencer Dinwiddie will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted and missed 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's missed from three overall this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

Mike Conley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Mike Conley has attempted and missed 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's missed from three overall this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has failed to make 4.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's missed in all games this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Nickeil Alexander-Walker figures to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has failed to make 4.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's missed in all games this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Nickeil Alexander-Walker figures to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-108

Anthony Davis has successfully made 21.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Davis

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Anthony Davis has successfully made 21.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis places in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Relative to last season's 8.6 clip, Austin Reaves's shots from the field have jumped this season to 11.3 per game. Austin Reaves has converted 50.2% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 9.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season at home. In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Relative to last season's 8.6 clip, Austin Reaves's shots from the field have jumped this season to 11.3 per game. Austin Reaves has converted 50.2% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 9.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season at home. In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-114

Rudy Gobert has converted 0.0% of his 3-pointers away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 7th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 0.1 per game this year. Rudy Gobert has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed overall this season. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Rudy Gobert has converted 0.0% of his 3-pointers away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 7th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 0.1 per game this year. Rudy Gobert has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed overall this season. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Russell
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-122

D'Angelo Russell has posted 25.5 points per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 6.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the year at home. D'Angelo Russell has sunk 4.9 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this year while on his home court. D'Angelo Russell has averaged 36.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

D'Angelo Russell has posted 25.5 points per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 6.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the year at home. D'Angelo Russell has sunk 4.9 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this year while on his home court. D'Angelo Russell has averaged 36.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. In terms of shooting, the Lakers's outstanding 122.2 points per game settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jaden McDaniels has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has made 95.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's converted overall this season while playing away from home. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been terrific at getting to the foul line recently: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging 25.6 free throw attempts per game.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Jaden McDaniels has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has made 95.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's converted overall this season while playing away from home. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been terrific at getting to the foul line recently: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging 25.6 free throw attempts per game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 54.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year while on the road. The number of treys scored against Anthony Davis has been quite high (0.8 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has converted an impressive 74.8% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly higher than his 66.9 rate last season. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been terrific at getting to the foul line recently: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging 25.6 free throw attempts per game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Naz Reid has converted 54.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year while on the road. The number of treys scored against Anthony Davis has been quite high (0.8 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has converted an impressive 74.8% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly higher than his 66.9 rate last season. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been terrific at getting to the foul line recently: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging 25.6 free throw attempts per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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