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MIA vs DET Picks
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MIA vs DET Consensus Picks
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Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic ranks in the 87th percentile for 3-point ability with a phenomenal 40.3% rate this year. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Nikola Jovic has converted 97.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 43.1% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 6.6 per game this year. Terry Rozier has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game.
Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 5.7% higher than he's converted overall this year away from home. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler slots into the 95th percentile for three-point performance with a terrific 45.0% rate this year. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.0 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Marcus Sasser Points Scored Props • Detroit

Marcus Sasser has sunk 51.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 11.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season on his home court. Marcus Sasser has sunk 1.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season when playing at home. The Pistons have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Marcus Sasser will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance in all stat categories.
Isaiah Stewart Points Scored Props • Detroit

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Stewart comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Pistons have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Stewart has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

Duncan Robinson has logged a terrific 13.4 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.3 points per game last year. Duncan Robinson has played 33.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this season. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game.
Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

Jaden Ivey has attempted 16.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden Ivey has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.2 more than he's played overall this year at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup. The Pistons have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 15.4% of his treys this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo has made 62.9% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 12.1% lower than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Detroit

Compared to last year's 30.7% rate, Simone Fontecchio's 3-point effectiveness has increased this year to 39.6%. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a good matchup. The Pistons have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Simone Fontecchio has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

Cade Cunningham has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile). In regard to offense, the Pistons's subpar 112.1 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 8th-fewest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are away from home, they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 25 games (17.9). The Pistons will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat). Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 54.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.7% higher than he's made in all games this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game.
Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

Relative to last season's 3.9 rate, Jalen Duren's shots hit have increased this season to 5.9 per game. Compared to last season's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has increased this season to 29.7 minutes per game. The Pistons have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Duren has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
James Wiseman Points Scored Props • Detroit

James Wiseman has not yet played a game this season.
Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

Caleb Martin has gone over 10.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs DET Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 away games (+25.95 Units / 39% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 74 games (+21.50 Units / 26% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 89 games (+18.55 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 58 of their last 97 games (+18.05 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.70 Units / 43% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 97 games (-30.75 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 74 games (-28.90 Units / -36% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.65 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.00 Units / -21% ROI)
The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.55 Units / -25% ROI)
Detroit Trends
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 77 games (-35.90 Units / -44% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.60 Units / -25% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 60 games (-16.35 Units / -26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 47 games (-15.70 Units / -29% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-15.70 Units / -22% ROI)
MIA vs DET Top User Picks
More PicksMiami Team Leaders
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All Heat Money Leaders |
Detroit Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
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All Pistons Money Leaders |