Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Final Oct 7
MEM 121 -8.0 o218.5
DAL 116 8.0 u218.5
Final Oct 7
OKC 112 -4.0 o219.0
SA 107 4.0 u219.0
Final Oct 7
HOU 113 -4.0 o219.5
UTA 122 4.0 u219.5
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
BSN, KJZZ

Minnesota @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Jazz, designating this as a difficult matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley figures to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

Mike Conley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Jazz, designating this as a difficult matchup. The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley figures to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 46.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's made overall this year while on the road.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 46.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's made overall this year while on the road.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler measures in the 98th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a very good 67.6% rate this year. The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Walker Kessler will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance across the board.

Walker Kessler

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler measures in the 98th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a very good 67.6% rate this year. The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Walker Kessler will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance across the board.

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Under
-110

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have posted the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz. In terms of drawing fouls, the Jazz's lackluster 16.6 foul shots per game while at home rates 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have posted the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz. In terms of drawing fouls, the Jazz's lackluster 16.6 foul shots per game while at home rates 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

John Collins has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz. In terms of drawing fouls, the Jazz's lackluster 16.6 foul shots per game while at home rates 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

John Collins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

John Collins has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz. In terms of drawing fouls, the Jazz's lackluster 16.6 foul shots per game while at home rates 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-102

Keyonte George has converted 2.9 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Keyonte George has played 31.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's played over the course of the year. The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Keyonte George has successfully made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Keyonte George

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Keyonte George has converted 2.9 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. Keyonte George has played 31.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's played over the course of the year. The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Keyonte George has successfully made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Taylor Hendricks Points Scored Props • Utah

T. Hendricks
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-105

Taylor Hendricks has made 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 14.0% higher than he's made overall this year. Taylor Hendricks has attempted 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Taylor Hendricks has averaged 23.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged overall this season. The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Taylor Hendricks

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Taylor Hendricks has made 55.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 14.0% higher than he's made overall this year. Taylor Hendricks has attempted 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Taylor Hendricks has averaged 23.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged overall this season. The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Anthony Edwards has attempted 26.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Utah is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Jazz are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.8
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.8

Anthony Edwards has attempted 26.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Utah is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Jazz are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Rudy Gobert has made 67.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season without the home court advantage. Rudy Gobert has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The faceoff with John Collins comes in at only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs tallying an enormous 15.6 points per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Rudy Gobert has made 67.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season without the home court advantage. Rudy Gobert has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The faceoff with John Collins comes in at only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs tallying an enormous 15.6 points per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-108

Naz Reid has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 7.6 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The faceoff with John Collins comes in at only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs tallying an enormous 15.6 points per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz). In contrast to last season's 66.9% mark, Naz Reid's foul-shot prowess has risen this season to 74.8%.

Naz Reid

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Naz Reid has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 7.6 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The faceoff with John Collins comes in at only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs tallying an enormous 15.6 points per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz). In contrast to last season's 66.9% mark, Naz Reid's foul-shot prowess has risen this season to 74.8%.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 40.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the year when playing on the road. Kyle Anderson has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one; when the Jazz are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Kyle Anderson has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 40.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the year when playing on the road. Kyle Anderson has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one; when the Jazz are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing at home. Kris Dunn has played 26.2 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on his home court, 7.9 higher than he's played in all games this year at home. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.6). The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Kris Dunn

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Kris Dunn has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing at home. Kris Dunn has played 26.2 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on his home court, 7.9 higher than he's played in all games this year at home. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.6). The 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Jazz. The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Jazz is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz). Jaden McDaniels has sunk 94.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.0% higher than he's made in all games this year while on the road.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile. With respect to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 118.5 points per game as the road team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Jazz is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz). Jaden McDaniels has sunk 94.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.0% higher than he's made in all games this year while on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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