LAL 6.0 o228.5
SAC -6.0 u228.5
MIA 3.0 o209.5
ORL -3.0 u209.5
MEM -1.5 o241.0
ATL 1.5 u241.0
UTA 2.5 o222.0
BK -2.5 u222.0
PHI 11.0 o218.5
CLE -11.0 u218.5
WAS 11.5 o223.0
MIL -11.5 u223.0
NY -8.0 o225.0
NO 8.0 u225.0
BOS -12.0 o244.5
CHI 12.0 u244.5
GS 3.0 o213.5
MIN -3.0 u213.5
POR 6.5 o226.0
SA -6.5 u226.0
LAC 3.5 o221.0
DAL -3.5 u221.0
DET 5.5 o224.5
PHO -5.5 u224.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
TNT

Dallas @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has converted 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 11.1% higher than he's made overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Dante Exum has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Dante Exum

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Dante Exum has converted 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 11.1% higher than he's made overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Dante Exum has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.7 minutes per game away from home this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) against the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.7 minutes per game away from home this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) against the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Compared to last year's 1.0 rate, Keon Ellis's shots taken have increased this year to 3.3 per game. Keon Ellis has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a positive one for scoring; when Irving is away from his home court opposing starting SGs this year, they have converted a monstrous 51.9% of their field goals (97th percentile). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Compared to last year's 1.0 rate, Keon Ellis's shots taken have increased this year to 3.3 per game. Keon Ellis has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a positive one for scoring; when Irving is away from his home court opposing starting SGs this year, they have converted a monstrous 51.9% of their field goals (97th percentile). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 threes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a tough one for three-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have totaled a measly 0.4 three-point shots per game (10th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Domantas Sabonis has been quite low this year (2.8 free throws per game: 10th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 threes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a tough one for three-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have totaled a measly 0.4 three-point shots per game (10th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Domantas Sabonis has been quite low this year (2.8 free throws per game: 10th percentile).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. rates in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 7.9 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. rates in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 7.9 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive output. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive output. The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have jumped this year to 8.8. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 treys per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.2 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 13.7 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has increased this season to 23.4 minutes per game. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Relative to last year's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have jumped this year to 8.8. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 treys per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.2 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 13.7 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has increased this season to 23.4 minutes per game. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The matchup against Sacramento is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Domantas Sabonis has converted 59.9% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point prowess with the home court advantage with a terrific 41.7% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. The number of points registered against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (15.9 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Domantas Sabonis has converted 59.9% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point prowess with the home court advantage with a terrific 41.7% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. The number of points registered against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (15.9 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.9 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 18.7 mark last season. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 9.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 20.9 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 18.7 mark last season. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 9.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-108

Malik Monk has attempted 15.2 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Malik Monk has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Malik Monk will likely see a spike in productivity for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Malik Monk

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Malik Monk has attempted 15.2 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Malik Monk has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Malik Monk will likely see a spike in productivity for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 98th percentile for shots from the field hit, registering a massive 9.6 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 33.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 98th percentile for shots from the field hit, registering a massive 9.6 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 33.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

Harrison Barnes has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season playing at home. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Harrison Barnes has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season playing at home. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Harrison Barnes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, putting up a whopping 34.0 points per game this year. In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 10.4 per game. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 37.3 minutes per game away from home this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.6
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.6

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, putting up a whopping 34.0 points per game this year. In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have jumped this season to 10.4 per game. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 37.3 minutes per game away from home this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The 3rd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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