Final Oct 29
DAL 120 5.0 o223.5
MIN 114 -5.0 u223.5
Final OT Oct 29
DEN 144 -5.0 o218.5
BK 139 5.0 u218.5
Final Oct 29
SAC 113 -6.5 o235.0
UTA 96 6.5 u235.0
Final Oct 29
NO 106 -1.5 o217.5
GS 124 1.5 u217.5
Philadelphia 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP, NBCSP

Philadelphia @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Paul Reed Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. Reed
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Paul Reed has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Paul Reed has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Paul Reed

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Paul Reed has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Paul Reed has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Joel Embiid Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Embiid
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Over
-102

Joel Embiid has attempted 21.9 shots per game this season, significantly more than his 19.8 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.9 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Joel Embiid has attempted 11.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Joel Embiid

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

Joel Embiid has attempted 21.9 shots per game this season, significantly more than his 19.8 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.9 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Joel Embiid has attempted 11.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-112

Kyle Lowry has made 60.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Kyle Lowry has made 57.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's sunk overall this season. Kyle Lowry has played 28.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Kyle Lowry has made 60.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Kyle Lowry has made 57.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's sunk overall this season. Kyle Lowry has played 28.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Relative to last season's 21.7% mark, Nikola Jovic's three-point performance has jumped this season to 40.3%. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on 3-pointers (4th-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a favorable matchup. Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games at home, 32.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.5 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Relative to last season's 21.7% mark, Nikola Jovic's three-point performance has jumped this season to 40.3%. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on 3-pointers (4th-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a favorable matchup. Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games at home, 32.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.5 free throws per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-120

Relative to last year's 7.3 rate, Duncan Robinson's points per game have jumped this year to 13.3. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the 76ers are on the road, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 4th-highest three percentage in the league this year (46.2%). Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while at home. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Relative to last year's 7.3 rate, Duncan Robinson's points per game have jumped this year to 13.3. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the 76ers are on the road, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 4th-highest three percentage in the league this year (46.2%). Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while at home. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (most in the NBA).

Nicolas Batum Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

N. Batum
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Nicolas Batum has sunk 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Nicolas Batum

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Nicolas Batum has sunk 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-102

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 16.9 shots per game over the last 15 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 16.9 shots per game over the last 15 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-107

Tyrese Maxey has accumulated 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile). As it relates to offense, the Philadelphia 76ers's lackluster 103.5 points per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games. The slowest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers. Tyrese Maxey ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Tyrese Maxey has accumulated 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile). As it relates to offense, the Philadelphia 76ers's lackluster 103.5 points per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games. The slowest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers. Tyrese Maxey ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 47.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 10.9% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while at home. Jimmy Butler has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.8 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Jimmy Butler ought to see a spike in performance across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 47.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 10.9% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while at home. Jimmy Butler has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.8 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Jimmy Butler ought to see a spike in performance across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Terry Rozier has tallied 31.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.9%). Terry Rozier has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team (8th-most in the league).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Terry Rozier has tallied 31.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.9%). Terry Rozier has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team (8th-most in the league).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
+102

Bam Adebayo has converted 62.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 55.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 24.1% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. The clash with Joel Embiid registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs making a whopping 1.0 treys per game this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Bam Adebayo has converted 62.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 55.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 24.1% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. The clash with Joel Embiid registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs making a whopping 1.0 treys per game this year.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. Caleb Martin has converted 95.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 13.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Caleb Martin ought to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year. Caleb Martin has converted 95.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 13.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Caleb Martin ought to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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