LIVE 00:01 2nd Nov 21
ORL 60 5.0 o216.0
LAL 67 -5.0 u216.0
Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP, TSN

Toronto @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Love registers in the 76th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 4.4 per game this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this season playing at home. Kevin Love figures to see an increase in productivity for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Kevin Love

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Love registers in the 76th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 4.4 per game this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this season playing at home. Kevin Love figures to see an increase in productivity for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jimmy Butler has converted 45.4% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have put up 23.9 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, making this a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Jimmy Butler has converted 45.4% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have put up 23.9 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, making this a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

The matchup vs. Toronto is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Raptors are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (23.6%). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

The matchup vs. Toronto is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Raptors are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (23.6%). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Kelly Olynyk Points Scored Props • Toronto

K. Olynyk
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Kelly Olynyk has logged 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's logged over the course of the year. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 70.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Kelly Olynyk has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's played overall this season. The rate of field goals sunk against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (63.4%) when he is playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Kelly Olynyk

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Kelly Olynyk has logged 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's logged over the course of the year. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 70.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Kelly Olynyk has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's played overall this season. The rate of field goals sunk against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (63.4%) when he is playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has successfully made an impressive 39.4% of his shots from downtown this year, significantly more than his 21.7 rate last year. Nikola Jovic has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, creating a strong matchup. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Nikola Jovic has successfully made an impressive 39.4% of his shots from downtown this year, significantly more than his 21.7 rate last year. Nikola Jovic has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, creating a strong matchup. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Ochai Agbaji has made 19.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.2% less than he's converted from three overall this year. Ochai Agbaji has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors. Compared to last season's 75.7% clip, Ochai Agbaji's foul-shot prowess has dropped this season to 64.3%.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Ochai Agbaji has made 19.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 10.2% less than he's converted from three overall this year. Ochai Agbaji has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors. Compared to last season's 75.7% clip, Ochai Agbaji's foul-shot prowess has dropped this season to 64.3%.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

Terry Rozier has sunk 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's made from three over the course of the season on his home court. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Terry Rozier ought to see an increase in productivity across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Terry Rozier has sunk 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's made from three over the course of the season on his home court. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Terry Rozier ought to see an increase in productivity across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 9.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 10.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Gary Trent Jr. has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 8.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 9.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 10.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Gary Trent Jr. has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 8.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Under
-108

RJ Barrett has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league). RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

RJ Barrett has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league). RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Under
-105

Immanuel Quickley has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors. Immanuel Quickley will likely see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Immanuel Quickley has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors. Immanuel Quickley will likely see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 59.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 24.6% higher than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Bam Adebayo has made 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 59.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 24.6% higher than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In terms of threes, the Heat's impressive 38.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors). Bam Adebayo has made 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Gradey Dick Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Dick
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Gradey Dick has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Gradey Dick has averaged 31.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from home, 11.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 7th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Gradey Dick

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Gradey Dick has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Gradey Dick has averaged 31.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from home, 11.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 7th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has shot and missed 3.3 attempts from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from downtown overall this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a difficult matchup. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Raptors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Caleb Martin has shot and missed 3.3 attempts from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from downtown overall this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a difficult matchup. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Raptors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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