Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
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Golden State @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Cason Wallace measures in the 85th percentile for shooting effectiveness when playing at home with a an excellent 55.4% rate this year. Cason Wallace has successfully made 52.1% of his treys while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Cason Wallace

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Among all players in the league, Cason Wallace measures in the 85th percentile for shooting effectiveness when playing at home with a an excellent 55.4% rate this year. Cason Wallace has successfully made 52.1% of his treys while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Relative to last season's 2.1 mark, Luguentz Dort's three-point shots hit have increased this season to 2.0 per game. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (46.3%). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Relative to last season's 2.1 mark, Luguentz Dort's three-point shots hit have increased this season to 2.0 per game. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (46.3%). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Compared to last year's 14.2 mark, Josh Giddey's field goal attempts have surged this year to 13.2 per game. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 28th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.7). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Compared to last year's 14.2 mark, Josh Giddey's field goal attempts have surged this year to 13.2 per game. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 28th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.7). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Draymond Green has converted 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors. The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk a terrific 77.8% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 68.9 mark last season.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Draymond Green has converted 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors. The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk a terrific 77.8% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 68.9 mark last season.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.4 three-pointers per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a hard matchup. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 68.2% rate, Kevon Looney's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this season to 69.4%.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

Kevon Looney has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.4 three-pointers per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a hard matchup. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 68.2% rate, Kevon Looney's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this season to 69.4%.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Under
-107

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production for all stats.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production for all stats.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 18.7 clip, Klay Thompson's points per game have surged this year to 18.0. Compared to last year's 3.8 mark, Klay Thompson's 3-point shots scored have risen this year to 3.3 per game. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.6%). The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Relative to last year's 18.7 clip, Klay Thompson's points per game have surged this year to 18.0. Compared to last year's 3.8 mark, Klay Thompson's 3-point shots scored have risen this year to 3.3 per game. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.6%). The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors. The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 2.3 mark, Andrew Wiggins's number of free throws has risen this year to 4.1 free throws per game. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the league).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors. The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 2.3 mark, Andrew Wiggins's number of free throws has risen this year to 4.1 free throws per game. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the league).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-109

In comparison to last season's 10.6 clip, Jalen Williams's shots have increased this season to 12.9 per game. Jalen Williams has tallied 31.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.5). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

In comparison to last season's 10.6 clip, Jalen Williams's shots have increased this season to 12.9 per game. Jalen Williams has tallied 31.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.5). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has made 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Isaiah Joe has been called for 1.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Isaiah Joe has made 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Isaiah Joe has been called for 1.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Chet Holmgren has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (16.2). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Chet Holmgren has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (16.2). The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 6.0 mark, Dario Saric's points per game have diminished this year to 8.4. Dario Saric has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 25.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Dario Saric

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

In contrast to last year's 6.0 mark, Dario Saric's points per game have diminished this year to 8.4. Dario Saric has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 25.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last season. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 74.3% rate, Moses Moody's foul-shot prowess has tailed off this year to 64.6%. This year when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 25.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Moses Moody

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Moses Moody has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last season. In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate places 6th-fewest in the NBA this year. While on their home court, the Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 74.3% rate, Moses Moody's foul-shot prowess has tailed off this year to 64.6%. This year when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 25.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 78th percentile for 3-point prowess while playing away from home with a a remarkable 39.8% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.7
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.7

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 78th percentile for 3-point prowess while playing away from home with a a remarkable 39.8% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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