LIVE End Dec 11
GS 69 3.0 o221.0
HOU 68 -3.0 u221.0
Final Dec 11
ATL 108 8.0 o238.0
NY 100 -8.0 u238.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Sportsnet, TNT, TRUTV

Sacramento @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-129

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 2.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 25.1% lower than he's made in all games this year. Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The showdown with Domantas Sabonis lands in the 25th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering only 11.7 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 2.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 25.1% lower than he's made in all games this year. Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The showdown with Domantas Sabonis lands in the 25th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering only 11.7 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Under
-101

In comparison to last season's 9.0 mark, Brandon Ingram's shots from the field hit have regressed this season to 7.8 per game. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 6.2 clip, Brandon Ingram's number of free throw attempts has tailed off this year to 4.8 free throw attempts per game.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

In comparison to last season's 9.0 mark, Brandon Ingram's shots from the field hit have regressed this season to 7.8 per game. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Kings have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 6.2 clip, Brandon Ingram's number of free throw attempts has tailed off this year to 4.8 free throw attempts per game.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has made 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Jose Alvarado has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Jose Alvarado has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court. Jose Alvarado will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Jose Alvarado has made 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Jose Alvarado has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Jose Alvarado has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court. Jose Alvarado will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Keegan Murray has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Keegan Murray has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Keegan Murray has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Keegan Murray has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-102

Herbert Jones has attempted 4.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Herbert Jones has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.3). Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Herbert Jones has attempted 4.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Herbert Jones has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.3). Herbert Jones has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Keon Ellis has sunk 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Keon Ellis has tallied 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup against the Pelicans is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Keon Ellis has sunk 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Keon Ellis has tallied 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup against the Pelicans is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.3% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-109

Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes rates in the 81st percentile for 3-pointers hit, compiling 1.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes places in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 29.1 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Harrison Barnes has attempted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes rates in the 81st percentile for 3-pointers hit, compiling 1.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes places in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 29.1 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Harrison Barnes has attempted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal prowess with a superb 59.6% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 38.8% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The showdown with Jonas Valanciunas rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs tallying a monstrous 14.7 points per game this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal prowess with a superb 59.6% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 38.8% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The showdown with Jonas Valanciunas rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs tallying a monstrous 14.7 points per game this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 47.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 47.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Trey Murphy III has registered 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's registered overall this season. Trey Murphy III has made 4.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Trey Murphy III has tallied 37.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Trey Murphy III has registered 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's registered overall this season. Trey Murphy III has made 4.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Trey Murphy III has tallied 37.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.6%).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

De'Aaron Fox has converted 11.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing on the road. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 13.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Pelicans are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

De'Aaron Fox has converted 11.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing on the road. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 13.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Pelicans are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

CJ McCollum has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Relative to last season's 2.8 mark, CJ McCollum's three-point shots hit have surged this season to 3.6 per game. CJ McCollum has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. CJ McCollum will likely see a rise in performance for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

CJ McCollum has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Relative to last season's 2.8 mark, CJ McCollum's three-point shots hit have surged this season to 3.6 per game. CJ McCollum has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. CJ McCollum will likely see a rise in performance for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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