MIA 1.5 o219.5
ATL -1.5 u219.5
DAL 6.5 o221.0
MEM -6.5 u221.0
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
ESPN, TSN

Denver @ Minnesota picks

Target Center

DEN vs MIN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Towns o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 20.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -115
19.5 -115
19.5 -120
19.5 -115
11.5 -110
11.5 -127
13.5 -123
13.5 -116
10.5 +5000
10.5 -100000
12.5 +116
12.5 -148

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 89th percentile, totaling a colossal 19.7 points per game while on his home court this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 94th percentile for foul shots made, tallying a massive 4.0 per game this year.

Total Assists
N. Jokic o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 8.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -150
8.5 +120
8.5 -150
8.5 +115
4.5 -130
4.5 -110
2.5 +5000
2.5 -100000
9.5 +118
9.5 -144

Nikola Jokic has averaged 9.0 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch of games. Nikola Jokic has averaged 39.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
M. Porter Jr. o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -120
13.5 -110
13.5 -130
13.5 +100
10.5 -159
10.5 +112
12.5 -135
12.5 -106
8.5 +5000
8.5 -100000
9.5 -125
9.5 -102

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 12.8 field goals per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for threes scored when playing away from home, compiling 2.5 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 37.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Total Rebounds
N. Jokic o9.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 12.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -125
11.5 -105
11.5 -140
11.5 +105
10.5 -130
10.5 -110
9.5 +5000
9.5 -100000
11.5 -134
11.5 +110

Nikola Jokic has compiled 4.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season on the road. Nikola Jokic has averaged 39.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

3-Pointers Made
N. Reid o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +165
1.5 -210
1.5 +135
1.5 -185
1.5 +250
1.5 -420
0.5 -112
0.5 -128
0.5 +5000
0.5 -100000
0.5 +130
0.5 -174

Naz Reid has converted 41.0% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Naz Reid stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
A. Gordon o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -130
13.5 +100
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
14.5 +108
14.5 -148
15.5 -141
15.5 -103
12.5 +5000
12.5 -100000
13.5 -146
13.5 +114

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 65.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road. Aaron Gordon has made 47.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has played 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Points Scored
A. Edwards o27.5 Points Scored
Projection 27.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o27.5 +5000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
28.5 -130
28.5 +100
28.5 -150
28.5 +110
29.5 -120
29.5 -117
33.5 -130
33.5 -110
27.5 +5000
27.5 -100000
27.5 -106
27.5 -120

Anthony Edwards has compiled 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Anthony Edwards has converted a terrific 5.4 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.1 mark last season. This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Total Rebounds
J. Murray o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +3000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +100
4.5 -130
4.5 +100
4.5 -135
2.5 +170
2.5 -250
2.5 -172
2.5 +119
2.5 +3000
2.5 -10000
4.5 -104
4.5 -118

Jamal Murray has put up 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.5 more than he's put up overall this year on the road. Jamal Murray has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
J. Murray o5.5 Total Assists
Projection 6.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +3000 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -110
5.5 -120
5.5 -120
5.5 -110
6.5 +110
6.5 -152
5.5 -192
5.5 +131
5.5 +3000
5.5 -10000
5.5 -120
5.5 -102

Jamal Murray has put up 6.4 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 97th percentile. Jamal Murray has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

3-Pointers Made
M. Porter Jr. o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +2200 draftkings
Projection updated: 336 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -105
2.5 -125
2.5 -105
2.5 -130
1.5 +123
1.5 -167
1.5 -182
1.5 +125
1.5 +2200
1.5 -8000
1.5 +188
1.5 -260

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for threes scored when playing away from home, compiling 2.5 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 37.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

DEN vs MIN Consensus Picks

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Total

75% picking Denver vs Minnesota to go Over

75%
25%

Total PicksDEN 448, MIN 149

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