LIVE 04:21 3rd Nov 21
DET 72 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 89 2.0 u222.0
LIVE Halftime Nov 21
MIN 51 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 52 7.0 u226.0
UTA 3.0 o224.0
SA -3.0 u224.0
ORL 5.0 o216.5
LAL -5.0 u216.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Sportsnet, TNT, TRUTV

Dallas @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Anthony Edwards has successfully made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home. Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The rate of field goals drained against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (43.8%) when matched up against other starting SGs this year (100th percentile).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Anthony Edwards has successfully made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home. Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The rate of field goals drained against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (43.8%) when matched up against other starting SGs this year (100th percentile).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 54.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 54.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 33.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing away from home.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 33.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing away from home.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
38.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Under
-127
Prop
38.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Under
-127
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last season. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the foul line away from home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 38.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.5
Prop:
38.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.5

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last season. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the foul line away from home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-138

Naz Reid has converted 54.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.1% more than he's converted overall this year. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 86.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Naz Reid will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Naz Reid has converted 54.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.1% more than he's converted overall this year. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 86.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Naz Reid will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.1 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 4.1 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.1 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 4.1 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-117

Rudy Gobert has sunk 66.0% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one; he has given up an enormous 15.3 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Rudy Gobert has sunk 66.0% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one; he has given up an enormous 15.3 points per game when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one; he has allowed a monstrous 14.7 points per game playing at home when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one; he has allowed a monstrous 14.7 points per game playing at home when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 6th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a poor 0.0% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the foul line away from home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 6th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a poor 0.0% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the foul line away from home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has converted 42.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. Mike Conley has made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Mike Conley has converted 42.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. Mike Conley has made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage.

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy has successfully made 43.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Jaden Hardy has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (24th percentile). The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.4

Jaden Hardy has successfully made 43.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Jaden Hardy has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (24th percentile). The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted overall this year. P.J. Washington has averaged 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). P.J. Washington has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted overall this year. P.J. Washington has averaged 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). P.J. Washington has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.0 minutes per game away from home this year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.0 minutes per game away from home this year. The Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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