Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
NBALP

Sacramento @ Phoenix props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Eric Gordon has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last season. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a hard one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.2). The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Eric Gordon

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Eric Gordon has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last season. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a hard one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.2). The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year. The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.1
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.1

The Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year. The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

In contrast to last year's 1.5 rate, Harrison Barnes's 3-point shots converted have risen this year to 2.6 per game. Harrison Barnes has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes lands in the 16th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.0 fouls per game on his home court this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

In contrast to last year's 1.5 rate, Harrison Barnes's 3-point shots converted have risen this year to 2.6 per game. Harrison Barnes has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes lands in the 16th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.0 fouls per game on his home court this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Josh Okogie Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Okogie
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Josh Okogie has made 66.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 28.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing away from home. Josh Okogie has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (21st percentile). As it relates to scoring, the Suns's remarkable 117.5 points per game away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4). The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

Josh Okogie

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Josh Okogie has made 66.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 28.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing away from home. Josh Okogie has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (21st percentile). As it relates to scoring, the Suns's remarkable 117.5 points per game away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4). The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last year. The Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Malik Monk has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last year. The Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

This year, their opposition has tallied 11.2 threes per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a difficult matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trey Lyles has converted 85.3% of his foul shots while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

This year, their opposition has tallied 11.2 threes per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a difficult matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trey Lyles has converted 85.3% of his foul shots while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.

Nassir Little Points Scored Props • Phoenix

N. Little
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Nassir Little registers in the 82nd percentile for shooting proficiency with a a great 53.8% rate this year. Nassir Little has made 39.4% of his 3-point attempts at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to scoring, the Suns's remarkable 117.5 points per game away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Nassir Little

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Out of all players in the league, Nassir Little registers in the 82nd percentile for shooting proficiency with a a great 53.8% rate this year. Nassir Little has made 39.4% of his 3-point attempts at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to scoring, the Suns's remarkable 117.5 points per game away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Domantas Sabonis has converted an impressive 7.8 buckets per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.2 rate last year. Domantas Sabonis has sunk an impressive 45.2% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit more than his 28.3 rate last season. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Domantas Sabonis has converted an impressive 7.8 buckets per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.2 rate last year. Domantas Sabonis has sunk an impressive 45.2% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit more than his 28.3 rate last season. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

In contrast to last year's 49.2% mark, Jusuf Nurkic's field goal proficiency has been reduced this year to 43.6%. Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile). The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

In contrast to last year's 49.2% mark, Jusuf Nurkic's field goal proficiency has been reduced this year to 43.6%. Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile). The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.1
Best Odds
Under
-108

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 13.9 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency. The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

Devin Booker

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.1
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.1

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 13.9 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency. The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have spiked this season to 12.3 per game. Keegan Murray has tallied 30.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 22.2 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, resulting in a good matchup for offensive output. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

In contrast to last season's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have spiked this season to 12.3 per game. Keegan Murray has tallied 30.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 22.2 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, resulting in a good matchup for offensive output. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Keita Bates-Diop Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Bates-Diop
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Keita Bates-Diop has converted a measly 40.8% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 51.4 rate last season. The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made just 73.1% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 81.0 rate last season. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, struggling to get to the foul line.

Keita Bates-Diop

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Keita Bates-Diop has converted a measly 40.8% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 51.4 rate last season. The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made just 73.1% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 81.0 rate last season. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, struggling to get to the foul line.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.4). The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Huerter will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

The Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.4). The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Huerter will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

Drew Eubanks Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Eubanks
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 35.4% clip, Drew Eubanks's 3-point effectiveness has surged this year to 100.0%. As it relates to scoring, the Suns's remarkable 117.5 points per game away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Drew Eubanks stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Drew Eubanks

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Compared to last year's 35.4% clip, Drew Eubanks's 3-point effectiveness has surged this year to 100.0%. As it relates to scoring, the Suns's remarkable 117.5 points per game away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Kings have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Drew Eubanks stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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