Final Dec 25
SA 114 8.5 o223.0
NY 117 -8.5 u223.0
Final Dec 25
MIN 105 5.0 o222.5
DAL 99 -5.0 u222.5
Final Dec 25
PHI 118 9.5 o223.0
BOS 114 -9.5 u223.0
Final Dec 25
LAL 115 4.0 o220.0
GS 113 -4.0 u220.0
Final Dec 25
DEN 100 -2.5 o232.5
PHO 110 2.5 u232.5
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-13
Detroit 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE13-17

Miami @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Kevin Love

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jalen Duren has made an impressive 75.6% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 63.2 mark last season. The matchup with Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 57.9% of their 3-point attempts this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high this year (3.8 free throw attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 75th percentile).

Jalen Duren

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Jalen Duren has made an impressive 75.6% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 63.2 mark last season. The matchup with Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 57.9% of their 3-point attempts this year. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high this year (3.8 free throw attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 75th percentile).

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier has sunk 1.8 treys per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pistons may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Terry Rozier has sunk 1.8 treys per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Pistons may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris has successfully made 56.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tobias Harris

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Tobias Harris has successfully made 56.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-128
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-128
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season. When it comes to scoring, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.0 points per game settles in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league this year. Tyler Herro will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Tyler Herro has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season. When it comes to scoring, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.0 points per game settles in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league this year. Tyler Herro will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-134
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-134
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has made a lowly 8.9% of his treys this season, significantly lower than his 30.6 mark last season. When it comes to scoring, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.0 points per game settles in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league this year. In contrast to last year's 74.4% rate, Bam Adebayo's foul-shot effectiveness has tailed off this year to 62.2%. Bam Adebayo stands to see a decline in productivity for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Bam Adebayo has made a lowly 8.9% of his treys this season, significantly lower than his 30.6 mark last season. When it comes to scoring, the Miami Heat's feeble 109.0 points per game settles in as the 9th-fewest in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league this year. In contrast to last year's 74.4% rate, Bam Adebayo's foul-shot effectiveness has tailed off this year to 62.2%. Bam Adebayo stands to see a decline in productivity for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Cade Cunningham has attempted 19.8 shots per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham places in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.2 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have scored 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Cade Cunningham has attempted 19.8 shots per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham places in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.2 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have scored 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-102

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. lands in the 82nd percentile for three-point shots scored with the home court advantage, posting 2.3 per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Tim Hardaway

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. lands in the 82nd percentile for three-point shots scored with the home court advantage, posting 2.3 per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Isaiah Stewart Points Scored Props • Detroit

I. Stewart
center C • Detroit
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Stewart stands to see a spike in productivity across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Isaiah Stewart

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Stewart stands to see a spike in productivity across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 19.5 points per game (highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against Detroit may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 16 games when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 19.5 points per game (highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 4th-best in in the league away from home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against Detroit may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 16 games when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jaden Ivey slots into the 83rd percentile for shots scored, registering an enormous 6.8 per game this year. Jaden Ivey has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Among all players in the league, Jaden Ivey slots into the 83rd percentile for shots scored, registering an enormous 6.8 per game this year. Jaden Ivey has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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