Final Dec 25
SA 114 8.5 o223.0
NY 117 -8.5 u223.0
Final Dec 25
MIN 105 5.0 o222.5
DAL 99 -5.0 u222.5
Final Dec 25
PHI 118 9.5 o223.0
BOS 114 -9.5 u223.0
Final Dec 25
LAL 115 4.0 o220.0
GS 113 -4.0 u220.0
Final Dec 25
DEN 100 -2.5 o232.5
PHO 110 2.5 u232.5
Toronto 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE7-23
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE16-12

Toronto @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gradey Dick Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Dick
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Gradey Dick should experience a decrease in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

Gradey Dick

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Gradey Dick should experience a decrease in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has sunk 76.3% of his three-point attempts when playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 23.9 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a good matchup for offensive performance. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks. Out of all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince comes in at the 100th percentile for free-throw proficiency while on his home court with a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Taurean Prince has sunk 76.3% of his three-point attempts when playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 23.9 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a good matchup for offensive performance. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks. Out of all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince comes in at the 100th percentile for free-throw proficiency while on his home court with a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

AJ Green Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Green
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

AJ Green has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Relative to last year's 11.0 rate, AJ Green's playing time has surged this year to 15.6 minutes per game. AJ Green has accumulated 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (24th percentile). The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.

AJ Green

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

AJ Green has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Relative to last year's 11.0 rate, AJ Green's playing time has surged this year to 15.6 minutes per game. AJ Green has accumulated 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (24th percentile). The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-106

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). RJ Barrett will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Boucher Points Scored Props • Toronto

C. Boucher
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Chris Boucher has sunk 65.0% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 16th percentile among all players in the league. Chris Boucher ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Chris Boucher

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Chris Boucher has sunk 65.0% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 16th percentile among all players in the league. Chris Boucher ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Immanuel Quickley ought to see a decline in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks). Immanuel Quickley ought to see a decline in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
34.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a mere 12.5% of his three-point shots this year, significantly less than his 28.5 mark last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile). The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.9
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.9

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a mere 12.5% of his three-point shots this year, significantly less than his 28.5 mark last year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile). The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has sunk 39.4% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league. Davion Mitchell has sunk 19.2% of his treys on the road this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Davion Mitchell has sunk 39.4% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league. Davion Mitchell has sunk 19.2% of his treys on the road this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

Jakob Pöltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Pöltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Jakob Poeltl has converted 52.4% of his field goals when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Brook Lopez has been very high (3.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The 10th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Jakob Pöltl

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Jakob Poeltl has converted 52.4% of his field goals when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Brook Lopez has been very high (3.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The 10th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji ranks in the 89th percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing on the road with an exceptional 58.6% rate this year. Ochai Agbaji has made 57.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Ochai Agbaji has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a good matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji ranks in the 89th percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing on the road with an exceptional 58.6% rate this year. Ochai Agbaji has made 57.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Ochai Agbaji has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a good matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a positive one; he has allowed a whopping 21.8 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks. The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 6.2 free throws per game (100th percentile). Brook Lopez is expected to get a boost in output for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a positive one; he has allowed a whopping 21.8 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks. The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 6.2 free throws per game (100th percentile). Brook Lopez is expected to get a boost in output for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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