LIVE 05:24 1st Nov 23
DEN 14 4.0 o236.0
LAL 13 -4.0 u236.0
Final Nov 23
NY 106 -8.5 o234.0
UTA 121 8.5 u234.0
Final Nov 23
DET 100 9.0 o207.5
ORL 111 -9.0 u207.5
Final Nov 23
CHA 119 8.0 o224.0
MIL 125 -8.0 u224.0
Final Nov 23
MEM 142 -4.0 o244.0
CHI 131 4.0 u244.0
Final Nov 23
POR 104 11.5 o226.5
HOU 98 -11.5 u226.5
Final Nov 23
GS 94 -3.5 o229.0
SA 104 3.5 u229.0
Miami 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE6-7
Indiana 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE6-10

Miami @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ben Sheppard Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Sheppard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Ben Sheppard comes in at the 76th percentile for three-point prowess with an exceptional 40.3% rate this year. The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Among all players in the NBA, Ben Sheppard ranks in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with an exceptional 89.5% rate since the start of last season. Ben Sheppard will likely see an increase in performance in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Ben Sheppard

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Out of all players in the league, Ben Sheppard comes in at the 76th percentile for three-point prowess with an exceptional 40.3% rate this year. The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Among all players in the NBA, Ben Sheppard ranks in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with an exceptional 89.5% rate since the start of last season. Ben Sheppard will likely see an increase in performance in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Myles Turner has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. The clash with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 96th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a colossal 56.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are at home. The matchup with Bam Adebayo in regard to drawing fouls rates in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year when they are at home.

Myles Turner

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Myles Turner has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. The clash with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 96th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a colossal 56.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are at home. The matchup with Bam Adebayo in regard to drawing fouls rates in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year when they are at home.

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (78th percentile). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Bennedict Mathurin has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (78th percentile). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 43.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (4th-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 43.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (4th-most in the league).

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. T.J. McConnell will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year. T.J. McConnell will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
-105

Pascal Siakam has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Pascal Siakam has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for scoring; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a colossal 69.5% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (96th percentile).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Bam Adebayo has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for scoring; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a colossal 69.5% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (96th percentile).

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Tyrese Haliburton has converted a measly 36.1% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable decrease from his 47.5 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Tyrese Haliburton has converted a measly 36.1% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable decrease from his 47.5 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Kevin Love

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Terry Rozier has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Terry Rozier has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has averaged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Compared to last season's 3.2 mark, Tyler Herro's 3-pointers converted have surged this season to 4.6 per game. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Indiana may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Tyler Herro has averaged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Compared to last season's 3.2 mark, Tyler Herro's 3-pointers converted have surged this season to 4.6 per game. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Indiana may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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