Final Dec 22
HOU 114 -9.0 o222.5
TOR 110 9.0 u222.5
Final Dec 22
IND 122 3.0 o234.5
SAC 95 -3.0 u234.5
Final OT Dec 22
DEN 132 -8.5 o231.0
NO 129 8.5 u231.0
Denver 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE15-11
Memphis 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE20-9

Denver @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dario Šarić Points Scored Props • Denver

D. Šarić
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

The number of treys attempted against Brandon Clarke has been remarkably high (3.9 per game) when on his home court and guarding other starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Dario Saric rates in the 84th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a terrific 85.2% rate since the start of last season.

Dario Šarić

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The number of treys attempted against Brandon Clarke has been remarkably high (3.9 per game) when on his home court and guarding other starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Dario Saric rates in the 84th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a terrific 85.2% rate since the start of last season.

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. LaRavia
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Jake LaRavia has successfully made 70.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 25.1% more than he's made overall this season. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Jake LaRavia will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Jake LaRavia

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Jake LaRavia has successfully made 70.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 25.1% more than he's made overall this season. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Jake LaRavia will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has made 53.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's made in all games this season. Peyton Watson has converted 52.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Peyton Watson has made 53.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's made in all games this season. Peyton Watson has converted 52.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year in regard to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Clarke is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.1 free throws per game (4th percentile). Nikola Jokic stands to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year in regard to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Clarke is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.1 free throws per game (4th percentile). Nikola Jokic stands to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Brandon Clarke Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Clarke
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Brandon Clarke has converted 72.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while at home. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Clarke slots into the 100th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with the home court advantage with a very good 100.0% rate this year.

Brandon Clarke

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Brandon Clarke has converted 72.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while at home. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Clarke slots into the 100th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with the home court advantage with a very good 100.0% rate this year.

Jaren Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson
center C • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has put up 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's put up in all games this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%). The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Jaren Jackson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

Jaren Jackson Jr. has put up 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's put up in all games this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.8%). The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+100

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 48.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.3 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 48.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.3 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has averaged 35.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 22.8 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Jamal Murray has averaged 35.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 22.8 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year in regard to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (9.9). Christian Braun ought to see a decline in performance across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year in regard to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (9.9). Christian Braun ought to see a decline in performance across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.8 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.4 threes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.8 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.4 threes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.

Scotty Pippen Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Pippen
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Scotty Pippen Jr. has sunk 5.6 baskets per game over the last 11 games at home, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this year while playing at home. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Scotty Pippen Jr. has made 88.9% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Scotty Pippen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Scotty Pippen Jr. has sunk 5.6 baskets per game over the last 11 games at home, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this year while playing at home. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Scotty Pippen Jr. has made 88.9% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (10th-most in the NBA).

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (10th-most in the NBA).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane ranks in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 8.2 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane ranks in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 8.2 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Grizzlies have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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