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San Antonio 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE15-15
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE23-5

San Antonio @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Caruso
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso registers in the 90th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an exceptional 40.0% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder. Alex Caruso will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso registers in the 90th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an exceptional 40.0% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder. Alex Caruso will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 86th percentile for three-point effectiveness with an outstanding 38.9% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder. Luguentz Dort should get a boost in production for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 86th percentile for three-point effectiveness with an outstanding 38.9% rate since the start of last season. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder. Luguentz Dort should get a boost in production for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 80th percentile for field goal attempts, compiling 12.4 per game since the start of last season. Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 82nd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, registering an enormous 3.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of last season.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 80th percentile for field goal attempts, compiling 12.4 per game since the start of last season. Keldon Johnson has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 82nd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, registering an enormous 3.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of last season.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-147
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-147
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 109.9 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season. Victor Wembanyama stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 109.9 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season. Victor Wembanyama stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
+100

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 52.4% of his field goals since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. The number of points registered against Victor Wembanyama has been quite high (17.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile). The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 52.4% of his field goals since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. The number of points registered against Victor Wembanyama has been quite high (17.0 per game) when facing other starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile). The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Chris Paul has shot and missed 0.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 23rd percentile for misses . This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Chris Paul

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Chris Paul has shot and missed 0.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 23rd percentile for misses . This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Champagnie lands in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Champagnie lands in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 78th percentile for 3-pointers hit, registering 1.8 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes lands in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.2 fouls per game since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The matchup against Oklahoma may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are at home (7th-most in the league).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 78th percentile for 3-pointers hit, registering 1.8 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes lands in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.2 fouls per game since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The matchup against Oklahoma may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are at home (7th-most in the league).

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Jeremy Sochan has attempted and missed 5.9 field goal attempts per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 76th percentile for misses . Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 28.6% of his three-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jeremy Sochan has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 109.9 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jeremy Sochan has attempted and missed 5.9 field goal attempts per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 76th percentile for misses . Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 28.6% of his three-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jeremy Sochan has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 109.9 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have scored 15.8 points per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive output. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have scored 15.8 points per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive output. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has converted 40.6% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 54.7% on shots from the field (2nd-best in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a good matchup. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Cason Wallace has converted 40.6% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 54.7% on shots from the field (2nd-best in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a good matchup. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 99th percentile, registering an enormous 30.0 points per game since the start of last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 48.4% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Spurs, making this a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 99th percentile, registering an enormous 30.0 points per game since the start of last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 118.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league since the start of last season. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 48.4% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Spurs, making this a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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