SA 9.0 o223.5
NY -9.0 u223.5
MIN 5.0 o221.0
DAL -5.0 u221.0
PHI 8.0 o221.5
BOS -8.0 u221.5
LAL 4.0 o223.5
GS -4.0 u223.5
DEN -3.0 o232.5
PHO 3.0 u232.5
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-13
Washington 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE4-23

Miami @ Washington props

Mexico City Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
-118

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Jordan Poole

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Carlton Carrington Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Carrington
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Carlton Carrington has been on the court for 26.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile. The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. Among all players in the league, Carlton Carrington lands in the 91st percentile for foul shots converted, totaling a colossal 3.0 per game since the start of last season.

Carlton Carrington

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Carlton Carrington has been on the court for 26.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile. The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. Among all players in the league, Carlton Carrington lands in the 91st percentile for foul shots converted, totaling a colossal 3.0 per game since the start of last season.

Bilal Coulibaly Points Scored Props • Washington

B. Coulibaly
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Bilal Coulibaly

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Jonas Valančiūnas Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Valančiūnas
center C • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 54.6% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 100th percentile for three-point prowess while on his home court with a very good 100.0% rate since the start of last season. The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. Jonas Valanciunas is expected to get a boost in effectiveness across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jonas Valančiūnas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 54.6% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 100th percentile for three-point prowess while on his home court with a very good 100.0% rate since the start of last season. The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. Jonas Valanciunas is expected to get a boost in effectiveness across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Kyshawn George Points Scored Props • Washington

K. George
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. Kyshawn George stands to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Kyshawn George

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards. Kyshawn George stands to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 89th percentile, registering a colossal 20.5 points per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 92nd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a phenomenal 40.7% rate since the start of last season. Jimmy Butler has averaged 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (4th-best in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, resulting in a good matchup. The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 89th percentile, registering a colossal 20.5 points per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 92nd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a phenomenal 40.7% rate since the start of last season. Jimmy Butler has averaged 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (4th-best in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, resulting in a good matchup. The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jovic registers in the 90th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 39.8% rate since the start of last season. The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (14.6). The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat. The matchup against the Washington Wizards may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Nikola Jović

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jovic registers in the 90th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 39.8% rate since the start of last season. The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (14.6). The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat. The matchup against the Washington Wizards may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 91st percentile for shots from the field, tallying 16.2 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 6.8 per game since the start of last season. Terry Rozier has played 33.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 91st percentile for shots from the field, tallying 16.2 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 6.8 per game since the start of last season. Terry Rozier has played 33.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 88th percentile for field goals drained, putting up a monstrous 7.4 per game since the start of last season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The rate of field goals drained against Alexandre Sarr has been very high (67.9%) when defending other starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile). The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 88th percentile for field goals drained, putting up a monstrous 7.4 per game since the start of last season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The rate of field goals drained against Alexandre Sarr has been very high (67.9%) when defending other starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile). The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 93rd percentile for shots taken, compiling 17.4 per game since the start of last season. Tyler Herro has attempted 8.2 threes per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.9 minutes per game since the start of last season. The matchup against Washington is a good one; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.8). The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 93rd percentile for shots taken, compiling 17.4 per game since the start of last season. Tyler Herro has attempted 8.2 threes per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.9 minutes per game since the start of last season. The matchup against Washington is a good one; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.8). The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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