NY -8.5 o234.0
UTA 8.5 u234.0
DET 9.0 o206.0
ORL -9.0 u206.0
CHA 7.5 o224.5
MIL -7.5 u224.5
MEM -5.0 o243.5
CHI 5.0 u243.5
POR 13.0 o226.0
HOU -13.0 u226.0
GS -3.0 o228.5
SA 3.0 u228.5
DEN 4.0 o236.0
LAL -4.0 u236.0
Dallas 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE9-7
Denver 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE8-6

Dallas @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 100th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 100th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Russell Westbrook registers in the 91st percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a colossal 4.8 foul shot attempts per game at home this year. Russell Westbrook will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Russell Westbrook registers in the 91st percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a colossal 4.8 foul shot attempts per game at home this year. Russell Westbrook will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-102

Jamal Murray has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has made 2.3 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has played 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Jamal Murray has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has made 2.3 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has played 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.9 fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season. The 4th-slowest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.9 fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season. The 4th-slowest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 43.5% rate, Peyton Watson's field goal effectiveness has been reduced this season to 33.2%. The Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. Peyton Watson has missed 0.7 foul shot attempts per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 79th percentile for misses .

Peyton Watson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

In contrast to last season's 43.5% rate, Peyton Watson's field goal effectiveness has been reduced this season to 33.2%. The Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. Peyton Watson has missed 0.7 foul shot attempts per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 79th percentile for misses .

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-108

Christian Braun has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year. The Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Christian Braun has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year. The Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 98th percentile for shots hit while at home, posting a whopping 10.0 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point performance with a great 55.8% rate this year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a good one for 3-point attempts; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (87th percentile). The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 98th percentile for shots hit while at home, posting a whopping 10.0 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point performance with a great 55.8% rate this year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a good one for 3-point attempts; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (87th percentile). The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots made, averaging a colossal 8.8 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has converted a whopping 50.1% of his treys this year, quite a bit more than his 39.1 rate last year. Kyrie Irving has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile. As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a good matchup for offensive output.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots made, averaging a colossal 8.8 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has converted a whopping 50.1% of his treys this year, quite a bit more than his 39.1 rate last year. Kyrie Irving has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile. As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a good matchup for offensive output.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
31
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile. As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Luka Doncic has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31

Luka Doncic has made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile. As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Luka Doncic has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Naji Marshall has converted an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 80.7 rate last season.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

As it relates to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 42.2 made field goals per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Naji Marshall has converted an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 80.7 rate last season.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

The Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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