Dallas @ Houston picks

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.0% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Quentin Grimes has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 32.4% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Spencer Dinwiddie should suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 85.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

The matchup against Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets have the home court advantage (least in the league). Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.