CHA 6.5 o221.5
DET -6.5 u221.5
ORL -1.5 o215.0
TOR 1.5 u215.0
NY 5.0 o223.0
OKC -5.0 u223.0
WAS 7.5 o233.5
NO -7.5 u233.5
BOS -2.0 o221.5
HOU 2.0 u221.5
CLE -7.0 o230.5
DAL 7.0 u230.5
SA 6.0 o238.0
DEN -6.0 u238.0
MEM 2.5 o242.0
SAC -2.5 u242.0
ATL 3.0 o231.0
LAL -3.0 u231.0
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE20-14
Houston 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE22-11

Dallas @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.0% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.0% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Daniel Gafford has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Quentin Grimes has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Quentin Grimes has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Under
-150
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Under
-150
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 32.4% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Spencer Dinwiddie should suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 32.4% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Spencer Dinwiddie should suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 85.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 85.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

The matchup against Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets have the home court advantage (least in the league). Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

The matchup against Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets have the home court advantage (least in the league). Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's lackluster 32.2% rate of made threes rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year. The matchup against Spencer Dinwiddie is a tough one for field goals; when facing opposing starting SGs this year, they have successfully made just 41.6% of their field goal attempts (23rd percentile). Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's lackluster 32.2% rate of made threes rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year. The matchup against Spencer Dinwiddie is a tough one for field goals; when facing opposing starting SGs this year, they have successfully made just 41.6% of their field goal attempts (23rd percentile). Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, tallying 4.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, tallying 4.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has made 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this season away from home. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Klay Thompson has made 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this season away from home. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's lackluster 32.2% rate of made threes rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's lackluster 32.2% rate of made threes rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has successfully made 50.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

P.J. Washington has successfully made 50.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-127

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 10.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home. Alperen Sengun has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.3 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The matchup vs. Dereck Lively II is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when Lively II is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile). The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 10.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year playing at home. Alperen Sengun has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.3 more than he's played over the course of the year at home. The matchup vs. Dereck Lively II is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when Lively II is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 11.7 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile). The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet has attempted 13.3 field goals per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Fred VanVleet has played 34.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Fred VanVleet has attempted 13.3 field goals per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the league. Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Fred VanVleet has played 34.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has made 48.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Tari Eason

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Tari Eason has made 48.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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