BOS 1.0 o224.5
OKC -1.0 u224.5
CHA 16.5 o223.5
CLE -16.5 u223.5
NO -5.0 o231.5
WAS 5.0 u231.5
UTA 8.5 o210.5
ORL -8.5 u210.5
LAL 4.5 o218.0
HOU -4.5 u218.0
SAC 3.0 o225.0
GS -3.0 u225.0
Utah 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE8-25
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE17-16

Utah @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier has been on the court for just 28.8 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 33.5 minutes per game last year. The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Terry Rozier has been on the court for just 28.8 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 33.5 minutes per game last year. The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has sunk 2.4 3-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 14.8% more than he's made overall this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Duncan Robinson has sunk 2.4 3-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 14.8% more than he's made overall this year.

Jordan Clarkson Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Clarkson
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Jordan Clarkson has notched 21.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's notched in all games this season. Jordan Clarkson has converted 42.2% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jordan Clarkson has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jordan Clarkson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Jordan Clarkson has notched 21.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's notched in all games this season. Jordan Clarkson has converted 42.2% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jordan Clarkson has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Collin Sexton has made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage. Collin Sexton has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made overall this year on the road. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Collin Sexton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Collin Sexton has made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage. Collin Sexton has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made overall this year on the road. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Keyonte George lands in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 7.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Keyonte George registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keyonte George

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Among all players in the NBA, Keyonte George lands in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 7.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Keyonte George registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins places in the 83rd percentile for shooting effectiveness on the road with a superb 53.5% rate this year. John Collins has made 48.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup against Miami is a good one for threes; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%). The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins places in the 83rd percentile for shooting effectiveness on the road with a superb 53.5% rate this year. John Collins has made 48.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup against Miami is a good one for threes; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%). The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has converted 52.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing at home. Nikola Jovic has sunk 51.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 17.4% more than he's made from three overall this year while at home. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, designating this as a good matchup.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Nikola Jovic has converted 52.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing at home. Nikola Jovic has sunk 51.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 17.4% more than he's made from three overall this year while at home. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, designating this as a good matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has sunk 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The faceoff with Walker Kessler comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs sinking a massive 1.4 threes per game this year. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Bam Adebayo has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Bam Adebayo has sunk 59.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The faceoff with Walker Kessler comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs sinking a massive 1.4 threes per game this year. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Bam Adebayo has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 27.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance across the board.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 27.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance across the board.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler comes in at the 98th percentile for field goal effectiveness away from home with an excellent 71.9% rate this year. The rate of 3-point shots made against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (47.6%) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Among all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler comes in at the 98th percentile for field goal effectiveness away from home with an excellent 71.9% rate this year. The rate of 3-point shots made against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (47.6%) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith measures in the 18th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a weak 63.9% rate this year. The matchup vs. Utah is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Jazz are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith measures in the 18th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a weak 63.9% rate this year. The matchup vs. Utah is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Jazz are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Lauri Markkanen has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Lauri Markkanen has attempted 11.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The faceoff with Haywood Highsmith places in the 90th percentile with the opposition's starting SFs hitting an enormous 43.0% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are on the away squad.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Lauri Markkanen has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Lauri Markkanen has attempted 11.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup. The faceoff with Haywood Highsmith places in the 90th percentile with the opposition's starting SFs hitting an enormous 43.0% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are on the away squad.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 94th percentile, registering a whopping 23.1 points per game while at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts while playing at home, putting up 9.5 per game this year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 94th percentile, registering a whopping 23.1 points per game while at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts while playing at home, putting up 9.5 per game this year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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