Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE61-21
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Boston @ Denver picks

Ball Arena

BOS vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
D. Šarić u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +135 bet365
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -165
2.5 +135

Dario Saric has averaged 13.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA: 23rd percentile. Dario Saric has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season. The Nuggets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
S. Hauser o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -135 betmgm
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -135
5.5 +100
7.5 -134
7.5 +100
6.5 -147
6.5 +108
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
7.5 -108
7.5 -112

Among all players in the NBA, Sam Hauser ranks in the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 5.6 per game this year. The Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Sam Hauser has made a whopping 100.0% of his free throws this year, quite a bit higher than his 90.9 rate last year.

Total Assists
D. White o4.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +120 fanduel
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +115
4.5 -145
4.5 +100
4.5 -135
4.5 +102
4.5 -136
4.5 +100
4.5 -137
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 +120
4.5 -154

Derrick White has put up 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 82nd percentile. Derrick White has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Points Scored
D. Šarić u8.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -120 caesars
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -114
8.5 -120
8.5 +100
8.5 -122

Out of all players in the league, Dario Saric slots into the 12th percentile for three-point efficiency at home with a subpar 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Dario Saric has averaged 13.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA: 23rd percentile. Dario Saric has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season. The Nuggets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
M. Porter o18.5 Points Scored
Projection 20.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -113 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 108 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -110
19.5 -120
18.5 -113
18.5 -118
19.5 -103
19.5 -133
19.5 +100
19.5 -130
18.5 -120
18.5 -102

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 8.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this season with the home court advantage. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to offense, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 127.4 points per game measures as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

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