Portland @ Dallas picks

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league while at home over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.8%). The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Dereck Lively II has converted 73.8% of his field goals playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup with Deandre Ayton with respect to drawing fouls places in only the 83rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.5 free throws per game this year. Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all stat categories.

The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Scoot Henderson has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's converted overall this year on the road.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league while at home over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 4th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.6%). The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making it tough to draw fouls.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).