Atlanta @ Phoenix picks

The number of points logged against Mason Plumlee has been very high (18.2 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Mason Plumlee has been very high (4.4 free throws per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Vit Krejci has successfully made 36.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the league. Vit Krejci has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this season. The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Suns). Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, struggling to get to the free-throw line. Vit Krejci is expected to see a decline in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Dyson Daniels has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile). The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.5). The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Suns). Dyson Daniels has successfully made 65.0% of his foul shot attempts while on the road this year, placing him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dyson Daniels should suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.