BOS -3.5 o196.5
ORL 3.5 u196.5
IND 5.5 o230.0
MIL -5.5 u230.0
LAL 3.5 o208.0
MIN -3.5 u208.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Miami @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

Out of all players in the league, Rui Hachimura comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.9 minutes per game at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the charity stripe. Rui Hachimura will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the league, Rui Hachimura comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.9 minutes per game at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the charity stripe. Rui Hachimura will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Dalton Knecht Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Knecht
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Dalton Knecht has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 7.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court. Dalton Knecht ought to see an increase in efficiency across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dalton Knecht

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Dalton Knecht has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 7.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court. Dalton Knecht ought to see an increase in efficiency across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Max Christie Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Max Christie has scored 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the year. Max Christie has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Max Christie has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Max Christie

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Max Christie has scored 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the year. Max Christie has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Max Christie has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.6 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has converted 44.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year while on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 3.9 free throws per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.6 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has converted 44.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year while on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 3.9 free throws per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Lakers. The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Austin Reaves

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Lakers. The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

LeBron James has converted 9.1 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. LeBron James has made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. LeBron James has tallied 34.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

LeBron James

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

LeBron James has converted 9.1 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. LeBron James has made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. LeBron James has tallied 34.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Haywood Highsmith has made 37.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Haywood Highsmith has attempted 5.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Haywood Highsmith has made 37.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Haywood Highsmith has attempted 5.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Lakers are playing at home (10th-most in the NBA).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. Terry Rozier has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Lakers are playing at home (10th-most in the NBA).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Los Angeles Lakers are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6). Tyler Herro has successfully made 4.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Los Angeles Lakers are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6). Tyler Herro has successfully made 4.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis measures in the 98th percentile, putting up a monstrous 25.9 points per game this year. Anthony Davis has sunk 46.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game this year. The rate of three-pointers drained against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (47.9%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis measures in the 98th percentile, putting up a monstrous 25.9 points per game this year. Anthony Davis has sunk 46.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game this year. The rate of three-pointers drained against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (47.9%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 1.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three overall this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 1.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three overall this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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